Round seven selections

Redcliffe Dolphins vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Thursday night – Suncorp Stadium

The Dolphins keep on keeping on, with a dominant display over the Cowboys in Townsville. That was without key forward and captain Jesse Bromwich who was a late withdrawal. He returns this week but Jarrod Wallace is unavailable post-concussion. Ray Stone gets a starting gig in the front row. For the Bunnies, the promising Tevita Tatola was luckless in his return, succumbing to another knee injury. Jai Arrow returns in his place - a handy replacement to be sure. The Dolphins defence has remained on song for most of the season, with the blowout loss to the Dragons the only anomaly. They'll be hard to crack again, particularly in front of what could be a sizeable crowd for a Thursday night, but I expect the Rabbitohs attack has enough of an arsenal to get the job done.

Verdict – Rabbitohs by 8

Result – Rabbitohs 36 defeated Dolphins 14

Cronulla Sharks vs Sydney Roosters – Friday night – PointsBet Stadium

The Sharks have lost two of their most important forwards in Rudolf and Finucane. They welcome back Graham and Kaufusi on the bench which will lessen the impact somewhat. They're coming off a bye and are playing at home, so you'd expect them to be fit and firing. The Roosters were a little disappointing against the Storm last week, but this looks an easier assignment. Most importantly, James Tedesco returns at fullback. The last time the Roosters ventured to Cronulla, Tedesco nearly beat the Sharks on his own. A repeat of that wouldn't surprise me in what looks like the game of the round.

Verdict – Roosters by 8

Result – Sharks 22 defeated Roosters 12

Manly Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm – Friday night – 4 Pines Park

Since the Manly coach had his little Nanna nap at an all night Maccas, the Sea Eagles have conceded 76 points in two weeks. It's probably unrelated, but it's a huge concern heading into a match against a team that knows how to find the tryline. The increasingly impressive Nick Meaney has been ruled out, with Munster slotting in at fullback and (I'm assuming) as goalkicker. He's a very good fulllback but not so good at the goalkicking. Notably Garrick is also out for the Sea Eagles, with Cherry-Evans the likely replacement for that role. If it's a close contest, goal-kicking may prove the difference. That said, I'm not expecting a close contest.

Verdict – Storm by 14

Result – Sea Eagles 18 defeated Storm 6

New Zealand Warriors vs North Queensland Cowboys – Saturday afternoon – Mt Smart Stadium

These sides met not so long ago in round 3 in Townsville, where the Warriors won convincingly (26-12). It doesn't feel like the Cowboys have improved much since then. They haven't won a game away from home this season, and this is about as away from home as Cowboys games can get. The Warriors have lost Wayde Egan and Te Maire Martin, significant omissions without doubt, but this New Zealand side feels a little different to Warriors sides of recent years. Watene-Zelezniak scored four tries in lower grade last week and is possibly the highest paid winger in the NRL, but he can't even break into the seventeen. 

Verdict – Warriors by 4

Result – Warriors 22 defeated Cowboys 14

Newcastle Knights vs Penrith Panthers – Saturday night – McDonald Jones Stadium

The Knights were starting to put it all together, but the season-ending injury to Jayden Brailey has the potential to derail their progress. Phoenix Crossland slots in at number 9, while Tyson Gamble returns in the halves. Notably Kalyn Ponga looks set to return sooner rather than later, but not this week. It's fair to assume a hefty crowd at Newcastle on Saturday night, but the Knights have an awful record against the Panthers in recent years. They've beaten them just once in 8 years, the Panthers have won their last five games in Newcastle, and in the last three games the margin was significant. The Panthers appear to be warming into their campaign after a slow(ish) start. Given the number of Panthers participating in the World Cup, plus a World Club Challenge in the pre-season, it's hardly a surprise. Statistically, their defence is as good this season as it was last season (possibly better), and that first half against Manly last week would suggest that their attack is starting to come together as well.

Verdict – Panthers by 19

Result – Panthers 16 defeated Knights 15

Gold Coast Titans vs Brisbane Broncos – Saturday night – CBus Super Stadium

Another Queensland Derby - it feels like we get one almost every week. The Titans got the job done in an entertaining but clunky win over the Dragons. Match-winner Toby Sexton broke his wrist in the process, and will be replaced by Kieran Foran on his return. Kruise Leeming impressed with his NRL debut and looks like another Englishman that will make the grade. The Broncos won almost every stat against the Raiders last week but lost the game. It might do them the world of good, keeping some of the youngsters grounded and focused. Flegler is out following the accidental concussion but Hetherington makes his much-awaited return from a biceps injury. This will be closer than most are assuming but I expect the Broncos to do enough to squeak over the line. One of those games that might surprise to the upside.

Verdict – Broncos by 1

Result – Broncos 43 defeated Titans 26

Canberra Raiders vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Sunday night – GIO Stadium

The Raiders impressed with effort last week and will return to Canberra feeling positive about their prospects from here on in. The return of both Wighton and Tapine makes them a much more formidable opponent. The Dragons recent record at Canberra is very poor and the drums are beating louder than ever for their coach. Hook can coach and he's a terrific person too. Tough gig this.

Verdict – Raiders by 8

Result – Raiders 20 defeated Dragons 14

Parramatta Eels vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Sunday afternoon – CommBank Stadium

If the Bulldogs didn't get steamrolled on Good Friday I'd be tempted to give them a chance in this. They've bolstered their forwards considerably with Kikau, Faitala-Mariner and Pangai Jnr in the starting thirteen. They're also adding Okunbor on the bench, who has been training in the back row this season. This Bulldogs forward pack can definitely match it (at least) with the Eels, and then it's up the Bulldogs backs to win the game. They probably can, but losing the fastest man on the planet and one of the best finishers in the game makes that harder. I'm with the Eels, but not confidently so.

Verdict – Eels by 2

Result – Eels 30 defeated Bulldogs 4

Wally Lewis - round seven selections (in bold)

Note: tips from Wally will be published on Wednesday night or Thursday morning

  • Dolphins vs RABBITOHS
  • Sharks vs ROOSTERS
  • Sea Eagles vs STORM
  • WARRIORS vs Cowboys
  • Knights vs PANTHERS
  • Titans vs BRONCOS
  • RAIDERS vs Dragons
  • EELS vs Bulldogs

Comments

Mary S's picture

@ The Tide Head,

I know you usually tip early, so hope you see this!

‘A’ posted comments in both sections last week, letting you know you had already picked “Broncos” in his comp, so could not pick them a second time.

When you hadn’t responded, I suggested to ‘A’ that we submit “Eels” on your behalf.
As they won, you now have 4 points & 1 strike.
Broncos, Storm, Sea Eagles, Eels are the 4 teams you can not use again in the comp.

Cheers,
Mary

The Thinker's picture

Greetings football fans

I have updated the NRL ladder and the tipping comp after round 6. Yet another difficult round to contend with - this might be the hardest season ever.

Top score for round 6 was 6 from 8, and there was quite a few of you, including our new leader Wild Oscar.

A short turnaround for all of us for round seven. I'll have my previews and selections published on Wednesday (tomorrow), and I'll have the selections for Wally updated on Thursday morning.

As always, if anyone notices any issues with the scoring just let me know.

@Tigerholic

I have added your tips for round seven. If you are still here, have a terrific holiday.

All the best

The Thinker

Francis Abba's picture

Let me know of every tip for every new round games commencing round seven and onwards.

Thanks

newbie from perth's picture

8512121505225182515145,

OK, no big intro as such except to say I was gutted by my beloved Roosters’ capitulation last week against the Storm. As much as it hurt to watch, I hung in there until the death. OK, let’s do this thing …

Dolphins vs. Rabbitohs @ Suncorp
Probability @ 30-70
Ladder Position = Dolphins
Bookies Favourite = Rabbitohs

Verdict: The Dolphins had a good win last week and seem to be better than I had originally thought. Their defence will have to turn up yet again against the Rabbitohs this week as the Bunnies had an impressive hit out last week and based on that effort, I’m thinking they win this. Rabbitohs by 8.

Sharks vs. Roosters @ Shark Park
Probability @ 45-55
Ladder Position = Roosters
Bookies Favourite = Roosters

Verdict: The Sharks are coming off the bye which is a bonus. The Roosters get Teddy back and Matt Lodge will be on the bench which is a bonus. The Sharks are good and will be rested but I’m going with my BBB. Roosters by 6.

Manly vs. Storm @ Brookvale
Probability @ 40-60
Ladder Position = Storm
Bookies Favourite = Storm

Verdict: Manly were terrible last week and asking them to beat a Storm side that have returned to some form (self-evident last week in their beat up of the Roosters) might be a bit much. Storm by 8.

Warriors vs. Cowboys @ Mt Smart
Probability @ 50-50
Ladder Position = Warriors
Bookies Favourite = Warriors

Verdict: This could go either way. The fact that this is at Mt Smart and the fact that the Cowboys seem a little “lost” at the moment makes the decision easier for me. As mentioned last week, I’m jumping ship with the Cowboys until they regain some form and momentum. Warriors by 4.

Knights vs. Panthers @ McDonald Jones
Probability @ 25-75
Ladder Position = Panthers
Bookies Favourite = Panthers

Verdict: As good as their win was last week, I’m pretty sure the Knights will be outclassed here. Blind Freddy can see that the Panthers simply have too much class in this one. Well, on paper at least 😁. Panthers by 16.

Titans vs. Broncos @ Cbus
Probability @ 35-65
Ladder Position = Broncos
Bookies Favourite = Broncos

Verdict: I said last week that the Broncos’ bubble would eventually burst but never thought it’d burst against the Raiders. I’m pretty confident the Ponies will bounce back here against the Titans who were good last week, but maybe not good enough in this one. Broncos by 12.

Raiders vs. Dragons @ GIO Stadium
Probability @ 60-40
Ladder Position = Dragons
Bookies Favourite = Raiders

Verdict: The Raiders were very good last week when they knocked off the Broncos but you know what? Funny as it might sound, I’m not convinced yet. OK, the Dragons lost last week but they played some decent footy for the most part. Call me crazy but I reckon they’re a chance in this one. Dragons by 6.

Eels vs. Bulldogs @ CommBank
Probability @ 65-35
Ladder Position = Bulldogs
Bookies Favourite = Eels

Verdict: Don’t know why but I like the way the Bulldogs have been tracking so far but with Kikau and JAC now out for extended periods, it’s not going to help them moving forward. The Eels were OK (sorta) last week and should have enough class tucked away to get them home this week. Eels by 8.

Bye = Tigers

Let’s finish off with another “Song of the Week”…

When I’m alone and listening to this, it reminds me of a girl I once knew …

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6DQJPL9Yuq0

OK kids, good luck with your tipping and may your team win by 40 points! Cheers 🐔 🐔 🐔

christine bailey's picture

Hi Thinker
Just to say I didn't know you were here I only found you by accident so I’m tipping late hope that’s ok.
I used to tip a while ago but I lost touch so looking forward to tipping again even though I’m late.

JKBubble's picture

Hello Thinker,
I was stuck in hospital and have forgotten to put my tips in.
Am i able to add my tips here for the rest of the round or is that not allowed?
My tips were going to be:
Rabbitohs (i understand this game has already been played)
Roosters
Storm
Warriors
Panthers
Broncos
Raiders
Eels

The Thinker's picture

@JKBubble

That's okay - I will add all your tips (except the Rabbits)

I do hope all is okay.

All the best

The Thinker

mark ashford's picture

Hey Newbie
Beautiful song from MJ as he used to look, before all the surgery.
Nice to see you have shaved a few thousand words from your analysis, bit easier to read. I think we've gone the same this week, so good luck to you and me.

a's picture

Well I believe that we made history in my 3 strike comp because no one has picked up a strike at all everyone has got a point

JKBubble's picture

@TheThinker,
thanks for that.
Yes i'm ok thank you

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