Melbourne Storm vs Brisbane Broncos – Friday night – AAMI Park
First plays second in what looks likely to be a dress rehearsal for the grand final this season. Broncos coach Anthony Griffin has stuck solid with his policy of resting Origin players, although Matt Gillett has been named to plug a gap in the centres. The Storm have a seven-man interchange as I write, but if history is a guide the big three of Smith, Slater and Cronk will back up from Wednesday night - at least they don't have to travel. The Broncos might be missing some big guns but they can still boast a very strong line-up and are at silly odds to cause an upset. I'm one prop forward away from tipping them in this, so I hope Ben Hannant isn't a surprise late inclusion. Unfortunately for the visitors the Storm lost their last game to the Sharks. They rarely lose two games in a row, and they never lose two games in a row when that second game is played at AAMI Park. Brisbane will have a reasonable amount of crowd support and they'll give this a shake but the Storm will do enough to get the points.
Verdict – Storm
Result - Storm 34 defeated Broncos 10
South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Canberra Raiders – Friday night – ANZ Stadium
At their best the Raiders could make a game of this but much of the firepower in their backline (i.e. Dugan and Ferguson) has been stood down for drinking too many shandies. Coach David Furner could use a stiff drink by full-time because they face a Bunnies side in red-hot form. The Raiders have won just one game in recent weeks when they beat the Eels, but they conceded 34 points in doing so. These sides met late last year and the Rabbits racked up 47 points and they did that in Canberra. Not many teams score 47 points in the Friday night fixtures, but the Bunnies might get close.
Verdict – Rabbitohs
Result - Rabbitohs 36 defeated Raiders 18
Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans – Saturday night – Hunter Stadium
The Titans don't get to say this too often, but they are in better form than their opponents this weekend. In the last month they've notched up wins over the Bulldogs and the Sea Eagles and lost in extra time to the Tigers. The Knights have won just two of their last six outings, and those victories were over the Panthers and the Eels. That's not the sort of form that will carry you through September. The Titans are better than the Panthers and the Eels but they might find the going tough on Saturday night. Scott Prince is out with injury following a training mishap and three of their best forwards (Myles, Bird and Harrison) have to back up from Wednesday. Danny Buderus returns for the Knights and his steadying influence should get the home side over the line.
Verdict – Knights
Result - Titans 24 defeated Knights 14
St George Illawarra Dragons vs Parramatta Eels – Saturday night – WIN Jubilee Oval
I could almost get sucked in to tipping the Eels in this. Almost, but not quite. The Dragons are treading water at the moment but at least they're still in the pool. If that cobbled-together forward pack for the Red V can hold their own their backline can put the Eels to bed by half-time. Good night!
Verdict – Dragons
Result - Dragons 14 defeated Eels 12
Penrith Panthers vs Manly Sea Eagles – Sunday afternoon – Centrebet Stadium
These sides met in round six so we can use that result as a pretty good guide. Manly won that game 30-0, and since then the Sea Eagles have improved and the Panthers have done the opposite. Playing at Penrith helps their cause to some degree, but that scoreline from round six looks about right. I particularly like the look of that '0'.
Verdict – Sea Eagles
Result - Panthers 22 defeated Sea Eagles 4
Wests Tigers vs North Queensland Cowboys – Sunday afternoon – Campbelltown Sports Stadium
The Tigers have been less convincing than a Jennifer Lopez Film Festival, but they might look a little more convincing on Sunday afternoon. The Cowboys can't buy a win in Sydney, and I suspect their starting props (Scott and Tamou) might struggle with the Origin back-up. The unfortunate injury (is there such a thing as a fortunate injury?) to Tariq Sims is a massive blow. Expecting a high-scoring game, and any match involving Marshall, Thurston and Bowen is sure to be an entertaining affair.
Verdict – Tigers
Result - Tigers 26 defeated Cowboys 18
Sydney Roosters vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Monday night – Allianz Stadium
The last three outings between these sides have resulted in a total of 172 points scored. That's an awful lot of points, and what's even more astonishing is that the winning margin in each of those games was just four. The Roosters have been playing well without winning which worries me. Losing, much like winning, is habit-forming. I'm starting to doubt the Roosters ability to get the job done when the whips are cracking. The Bulldogs haven't put it all together either, but it's worth noting that Melbourne and Brisbane are the only sides that have conceded less points than the Doggies this season. Pencil this game into your schedule if you can. I have a gut feeling it might be a rip-snorter. Dogs...by four
Verdict – Bulldogs
Result - Bulldogs 30 defeated Roosters 12
Wally Lewis - round twelve selections (in bold)
Note: tips from Wally will be published as soon as possible (usually on Thursday night or early Friday morning).
- STORM vs Broncos
- RABBITOHS vs Raiders
- KNIGHTS vs Titans
- DRAGONS vs Eels
- Panthers vs SEA EAGLES
- Tigers vs COWBOYS
- Roosters vs BULLDOGS
Comments
Submitted by a on
I disagree with 1 tip
Dragons
Storm
Sea Eagles
Knights
Bulldogs
Rabbitohs
Cowboys
You support Broncos dont you
Submitted by The Thinker on
I think we have reached a point where I have to do what is best for everyone involved.
a,
Yes....I am a Broncos fan
Submitted by Ryan on
I think you should of tipped the roosters.
Submitted by The Thinker on
Wally fans,
For those of you waiting with baited breath for Wally's tips they are going to be delayed this round. The champ is bailed up in Mexico on Origin/Storm/Broncos duties. I'll publish as soon as I can, but it won't be until late tomorrow (Friday).
Apologies for the delay.
Submitted by Craig on
I always knew you were a good bloke Thinker, Bronco's are one.
Heart says Bris, head says Mel...The Bronc's look ok on paper but they will miss Hodges in the back line, Melbourne are a little off at the moment though will be very hard to beat at home.i dont know really, Brisbane are a chance here, i honestly think that, ill go Bris by 1-6 with fingers crossed.
Bris
Sths
New
Stg
Man
NQ
Bul
Submitted by Jo on
Its usually a safe bet to tip against the eels but they can't lose forever. If hayne fires up after origin they might pull of an upset & leave the dragons choking. Yes, I am a long suffering parra fan
Love reading ur tips every week btw :)
Submitted by Judith on
I hope Wally's tips are not too late friday arvo, it is after 3 now. Hurry wally!!
Submitted by a on
can you please put wally lewis tips on please
Submitted by Jules on
Where,s Wally
Submitted by The Thinker on
I'm sorry everyone.
Wally is completing the finishing touches on his Ark (when you see the conditions at AAMI Park tonight you will understand why).
Again, as soon as I have them I'll publish them. This is a very busy time of the year for the champ and he's got plenty on his plate.
All apologies.
Submitted by Rossco on
Wally's probably swimming right about now, I'm with you Thinker!
Submitted by Judith on
we have to have our tips in by 530pm, ah well, here goes-
Submitted by Ryan on
Why do you all go with wallys tips? Im with the thinker, hes due for a full round *wink*
Submitted by suey on
Did anyone find Wally??
Submitted by The Thinker on
We've found him everyone. Thank you for your patience and I'm sorry to those who had tipping deadlines.
Enjoy the weekend
Submitted by Brett on
After all that suspense,only 1 tip different from The Thinker.
Submitted by a on
I will tell more this time and Im am so sorry about D and his friends posting nasty commets on here their will not be coming back again
Submitted by Dubai Dan on
Did Manly show up at the correct stadium...??? Ryan, i'm on the Chooks with you mate! 2 upsets and almost a third with Parra. Put me down for a bit of Monday madness!
Submitted by Ryan on
cracker of a round round 12.. the only one wrong was the roosters.. oh well 6/7 ;)