Manly Sea Eagles vs Wests Tigers – Thursday night – Bluetongue Stadium
The Easter break always brings with it a tremendous weekend of sport, and this is a cracking way to kick things off. Both teams bring solid form with them and when the Tigers are playing well they're an entertaining outfit to watch. In the corresponding game at Bluetongue last season it was the Sea Eagles who prevailed by 4 points. I'm leaning to the Sea Eagles to repeat that result. I'm expecting a tight, grinding contest and I have a little more faith in the Sea Eagles to hold their nerve under those circumstances. Manly were in nine close games in 2012, and they won seven of them. One of those close losses was to the Storm, and the other was to Cronulla at Cronulla. I'm willing to call those honourable losses.
Verdict – Sea Eagles
Result - Sea Eagles 26 defeated Tigers 0
Canterbury Bulldogs vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Friday night – ANZ Stadium
The Bulldogs are sitting low on the ladder but they lost no admirers with their final 20 minutes against the Storm last weekend. I suspect their opponent put the cue in the rack so perhaps the performance was flattered by the circumstances. In any case the signs were promising, and when one considers the players that were unavailable one must assume they will improve further. And on that note, both Ben Barba and Frank Pritchard should play on Friday night. Their addition adds plenty of firepower and I expect the return of Pritchard will (hopefully) bring out the best in Tony Williams. Good luck to the Rabbitohs right edge defence when they have Pritchard, Williams, Morris and Barba running at them. The Rabbits have plenty of upside about them as well, and they keep winning. They are a warm favourite in this game, but they have a short turnaround from a game played in stifling conditions. I'll tip the Bulldogs at a very backable price. Oh, and having Inglis and Barba on the same footy field. Hooray!
Verdict – Bulldogs
Result - Rabbitohs 17 defeated Bulldogs 12
Brisbane Broncos vs Melbourne Storm – Friday night – Suncorp Stadium
In my younger years I used to spend most weekends with a mate of mine in the tawdry part of some tawdry Australian town. He was one of the nicest, most well-meaning guys you would ever want to meet - but he was just hopeless when it came to the ladies. He didn't know how to approach them, he didn't know what to say to them, and on the rare occasions when the universe would drop an interested lady in his lap he'd find a way to stuff it up anyway. I can only assume he's picked up the gig as the backline coach with the Brisbane Broncos. Justin Hodges is back as their 'wingman', and they most certainly need him. He is the Broncos attacking force at the moment, but he can't outpoint the Storm without a lot of help. The Storm were getting run down in the latter stages of their round three clash, but I touched on their workload in recent times and I suspect that goes part of the way toward explaining the tired legs. Craig Bellamy will freshen them up for this, and they are simply too good and too professional to get beaten on Good Friday. The last time I gave the Broncos a decent spray they came out that weekend and played like the Harlem Globetrotters. I'm glad I made a difference, but even the awesome power of The Thinker isn't enough to turn the Broncos fortunes around this Easter.
Verdict – Storm
Result - Storm 32 defeated Broncos 26
Cronulla Sharks vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Saturday night – Sharks Stadium
Despite all the adversity the Sharks have conceded just 28 points in three games of football this season. Clearly their attitude is still spot on because defence is usually the first thing to suffer when your head is in the wrong place. The Dragons have scored just 33 points this season, and more than half of those were against a struggling Raiders outfit. This is one derby where both teams usually give their all but it's quite clear which of these sides has more to give. My good thing of the round.
Verdict – Sharks
Result - Dragons 25 defeated Sharks 12
Penrith Panthers vs Gold Coast Titans – Sunday afternoon – Centrebet Stadium
I'm starting to believe in the Gold Coast Titans. I don't want to get carried away, because the last time I believed in them they fell over five minutes later. That was a few years ago and they've been struggling to get back on their feet ever since. Penrith racked up some points against the Bunnies last week but that game was something of an anomaly because of the weather. The Titans look good in defence and I don't think Penrith have an attack that will trouble them.
Verdict – Titans
Result - Titans 28 defeated Panthers 10
Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders – Sunday night – Hunter Stadium
Wayne Bennett said it and now I believe it - when it comes to the Knights you just don't know which team is going to turn up on the day. If the team that turned up in rounds one and three turns up on Sunday night they'll rack up 40 points. In round two they couldn't get off the mark. The difference between their very best and their very worst is extraordinary. Their very best performances have been at home, and since they're at home again against a side who aren't the best of travellers I'll assume the very good Knights will be on show again this weekend. Wayne Bennett and I will know if I'm wrong after about ten minutes. If the Easter rain doesn't arrive assume we're in for a high-scoring affair.
Verdict – Knights
Result - Knights 28 defeated Raiders 12
New Zealand Warriors vs North Queensland Cowboys – Monday night – Mt Smart Stadium
I did mention at the start of the season that the Cowboys had a tough first month, but I never expected what we saw on Monday night. The travel doesn't get any easier, but at least their opponent looks beatable. The Warriors are simply off the pace and they need to find their legspeed and find it fast. I'm not sold on their halves combination either. Thomas Leuluai has played 30 tests for New Zealand but I'm yet to be convinced he is a playmaker of NRL standard. You couldn't tip them to turn things around this weekend but they do grow a leg at Mt Smart Stadium and this is their first game at their spiritual home for the year. They might need to grow a few more legs yet.
Verdict – Cowboys
Result - Warriors 20 defeated Cowboys 18
Sydney Roosters vs Parramatta Eels – Monday night – Allianz Stadium
Three rounds down and the Sonny-Bill Williams experiment appears to be paying off. He's getting better each week and, rather astonishingly, he hasn't missed a single tackle. His attack will continue to improve but that defensive statistic tells me he's playing NRL for the right reasons. The defensive structure of the entire team is improving with every round, and in time they should be able to build some attack on the back of that defensive pressure. The Eels got off to a flying start this season but their opponent in that game wasn't much of an opponent. Ricky Stuart might have some cranky weeks ahead of him I suspect - I better send his cat a text message and tell it to find a good hiding spot.
Verdict – Roosters
Result - Roosters 50 defeated Eels 0
Wally Lewis - round four selections (in bold)
Note: tips from Wally will be published on Thursday night or early Friday morning.
- SEA EAGLES vs Tigers
- Bulldogs vs RABBITOHS
- Broncos vs STORM
- SHARKS vs Dragons
- Panthers vs TITANS
- KNIGHTS vs Raiders
- Warriors vs COWBOYS
- ROOSTERS vs Eels
Comments
Submitted by Johnny Ray on
Yeah Hey Thinker ! Thanks again for all your tips this week and while I agree with you on most of your selections, the only three that I'm so not sure about is Titans game, I think Panthers will win this one only because they almost beat Rabbits last week and as much as I'm fan of Titans since their conception, I can't see them doing that just yet, that's why I'm going with Panthers in this one ! The other two is Warriors and Eels who I feel if everything else goes the way it's suppose to and there isn't any big huge giant upsets during Easter Weekend then we are due for some on Easter Monday starting in Auckland and ending in Sydney. Go The Warriors ! Monday Night is going to be especially epic for us fans ! ;-D
Submitted by The Thinker on
Good stuff Johnny Ray.
Have a great weekend.
Submitted by steel cat (meow) on
Thinker you are killing me, go the mighty Panthers
Submitted by newbie from perth on
Hey Mr T,
I tried as hard as I could to go against some of your tips but alas, I could not. Seems you are right on the money this week. Well I hope you are for my tipping comp sake! Got 6 last week but that's better than not getting any I suppose.
Maybe the last couple of years listening to your comments and analysis as well as the expert thoughts from the other kind folk who leave comments here is finally paying off for this newbie from Perth. Thanks.
P.S. So happy my beloved Chickens have won a couple. Last week got me a carton off a Broncs fan at work. Yeah baby!!
Submitted by Craig on
6/8 last week and level pegging on 16 with Wal and the Thinker.
Man - Like many good QLDers i develop a twitch when the words 'Honorable' and 'Manly are mentioned in the same sentence, however i think the Sea Eagles will get this one. Man 1-12
Bul - The Dogs should be better in the halves and they move the ball around more. should be a ripper, looking forward to Reynolds V Reynolds one of these blokes has to be in the NSW team if they've a sniff this year. Dogs 1-12
Mel - Won back my losses from Rnd2 on this game, took Mel - 3.5 and got a tad nervous in the last 10. Brisbane as ive said all year are done until they find another coach. Mel 13+
Cro - They say you cant lose forever, eventually every dog or dragon..has his day, its just not going to be this weekend. Cro 13+
Pen - Very impressed with Penrith's form even the losses are an improvement over last year. Do it for the Guru boys. Pen 1-12
New - Wayne has the Knights playing good football, two thirds of the time at least and back to back home games should see that stick this week. Lock of the round.
NQC - Cowboys have to win if they're serious about October, Thurston has been outstanding all over the park. If a few of the rest can follow his lead they'll do well.
Syd - The Chooks are looking half decent and should be too disciplined for the Eels. this is my watch it only game, Para are due for a win and if i had to id take them at the line.
Submitted by Steel Panther on
Surely Thinker it's hard to look past the Bunnies on Easter weekend??
Submitted by The Thinker on
Good stuff Craig. I'll add your results to our season stats table since you go to so much trouble every round.
Steel Panther,
I see your logic, but the Bunnies have a pretty woeful head-to-head record with the Bulldogs in recent years (from memory I think the Dogs have won five of the last seven or seven of the last nine).
Have a great break over the weekend everyone.
All the best
Submitted by a on
Here are my tips
Sea Eagles I have to go with Manly
Rabbitohs Sorry Bulldogs
Storm Broncos wont do well this year
Dragons they should win their 1st game
Titans they will finish high this year
Raiders Raiders will start to win now
Warriors Cowboys are a awful team this year
Roosters Eels are crap
Submitted by Grasshopper on
Let's see how Hursty goes this week. My Tips are
SEA EAGLES
RABBITOHS
STORM
SHARKS
PANTHERS
KNIGHTS
COWBOYS
ROOSTERS
Good Luck
Submitted by Craig on
Thanks Thinker
Submitted by The Believer on
You being the thinker and me the believer your tipps will keep getting better.
Thanks mate
Submitted by Bali John on
Cowboys have gotta pull one off this weekend???
Submitted by Bali John on
Hey mate what are you going with this week? I like your way of thinking.