Round twenty four selections

Parramatta Eels vs Gold Coast Titans – Thursday night – ANZ Stadium

With Jarryd Hayne potentially looking for a new contract somewhere, this is the sort of game where he may pull his finger out and deliver a match-winning performance. A Titans win does seem unlikely, but they did beat the Eels pretty convincingly way back in round three (without Hayne and another former Eel in Nathan Peats). If the Titans were serious I'd be tempted, but with four losses in a row I've assumed they have given up, because prior to that run of losses the Titans were a team you could rely on to have a red hot go. In their last three games they've conceded 122 points and scored just 20...and that doesn't look like trying. Prior to that surprise loss to the Knights the Eels had won six in a row. I'm prepared to write off that performance last weekend as an oddity – we are talking about Parramatta after all, and for quite some time they've been a rocks or diamonds team (often during the same game). 60 minutes of diamonds (or more) from the home side and that should be enough, and I'm quietly hoping that Bevan French has a game to remember and tells everyone that Parramatta don't need to look elsewhere for a fullback.

Verdict – Eels by 8

Result – Eels by 22

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors – Friday night – ANZ Stadium

Worriers....Bah! You don't deserve a preview.

Verdict – Rabbitohs by actually trying...and by 14

Result – Rabbitohs by 18

Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Friday night – Suncorp Stadium

For reasons that seemed perfectly cromulent at the time I took on the Broncos last week and they never looked like losing, despite the fact that they weren't anywhere near their best. Now that they've found themselves in the top two they'll be rather desperate to stay there. Top two means they avoid the Storm in week one of the finals and they play in Brisbane rather than Sydney. Based on what's left of the draw it looks like they'll need to win their last three games to stay where they are. The Dragons have at least as much to play for, as they hover just out of but close enough to the top eight. It's starting to look like the Cowboys are the team most likely to drop out of contention. Gazing into my crystall ball and in the final round of the season I suspect the Dragons will have an opportunity to replace the Cowboys in the top eight. But before that...this. I dare not take on the Broncos again after they made me look quite the fool last week. Since round one the Broncos have lost just once at home this season and that was to the Storm. The Dragons are not the Storm..

Verdict – Broncos by 8

Result – Broncos by 12

Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm – Saturday afternoon – McDonald Jones Stadium

The Storm haven't quite won the minor premiership yet, but a win on Saturday and the J.J. Giltinan Shield is theirs to take home to Melbourne town. It's not often you get to say that the game between 1st and 16th is the game of the round, but this looks suspiciously like the game of the round. What an almighty statement the Knights would be making with a win here, and that statement would read 'Watch out 2018'. I'd love to see it, but I can't tip it. In a competition where so many teams let you down so often the Storm rarely do. They have dominated this competition in season 2017 and are worthy minor premiers.

Verdict – Storm by 10

Result – Storm by 32

Sydney Roosters vs Wests Tigers – Saturday night – Allianz Stadium

One of the great things about the resurgence of the Knights in recent weeks has been the signs of life in Tigertown – clearly neither team wants the wooden spoon this year. The Roosters showed everyone they have a team that can (at least) compete with the Storm, and the Tigers showed the Roosters they need to take this game seriously. Given their thoroughly entertaining victory over the Sea Eagles the Roosters won't take this game lightly. The Chooks pack is first class, their bench has depth and Michael Gordon returns at the back. A top two finish is still a very real prospect and I doubt they'll drop their bundle here.

Verdict – Roosters by 10

Result – Roosters by 4

North Queensland Cowboys vs Cronulla Sharks – Saturday night – 1300SMILES Stadium

The Sharks don't win in Townsville too often but they won't get many better chances than this. The Cowboys have the longest casualty list in the NRL (nine) and every single one of them is out for the seazson. While the Sharks have been deeply disappointing for a fortnight their team on Saturday night is near enough to the seventeen that won a premiership in 2016. The bench in particular, looks a lot stronger on Saturday night, which is hardly a surprise given the mounting injuries up north. I would urge the Cowboys to hand the pill to Taumalolo and have him run at the right hip of James Maloney all night. The little big men for the home side just need to follow him through and scoop up the rewards. That tactic might be enough to get the Cowboys home. I hope they win, but I can't quite tip them. Not quite.

Verdict – Sharks by 1

Result – Sharks by 10

Canberra Raiders vs Penrith Panthers – Sunday afternoon – GIO Stadium

I'm not the first to point it out (because I'm running late) but this is the game of the round. Two teams in form and two teams with much to play for. Those with reasonable memories would recall that when these sides met earlier in the season they gave us one of the games of the year, with the Panthers scoring two tries in the last three minutes to claim the win. I struggled over this game for quite a while (hence I'm running late) but I've found a way to split them. The Panthers have won just four away games this season, and those four wins were against the teams running 12th, 13th, 15th and 16th. The Raiders, on current form, are better than that. Note that the Raiders haven't set GIO Stadium on fire this season, winning five from ten at home. In recent weeks however, their form at home has been much stronger, even if they aren't winning. They were competitive (but lost) to the Storm and the Broncos, and they are our top two teams at present. I'm taking the punt on that form being strong enough. If you only watch one game this weekend try and make it this one.

Verdict – Raiders by 2

Result – Panthers by 4

Canterbury Bulldogs vs Manly Sea Eagles – Sunday afternoon – ANZ Stadium

My thesis about the Bulldogs remains intact – they can't score enough points to win. It's been forever since they managed to score 20 points in 80 minutes. Meanwhile the Sea Eagles have scored 20 or more thirteen times this season. The argument seems even more compelling when you look back to when these sides met in round 4. Sea Eagles 36 : Bulldogs 0. I feel for Des. I truly do.

Verdict – Sea Eagles by 16

Result – Bulldogs by 14

Wally Lewis - round twenty four selections (in bold)

Note: tips from Wally will be published on Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.

  • EELS vs Titans
  • RABBITOHS vs Warriors
  • BRONCOS vs Dragons
  • Knights vs STORM
  • ROOSTERS vs Tigers
  • Cowboys vs SHARKS
  • RAIDERS vs Panthers
  • Bulldogs vs SEA EAGLES

Comments

a's picture

What such disgusting behaviour from that Raiders fan spitting on the ref he should be banned for life

Rocket Ryan's picture

Very good marys

christine's picture

Mark anonymous could be joker if you remember when joker stopped posting comments because of coach being on site he started posting comments as anonymous any way it doesn't matter the thinker knows who they are & I have to say big pete sorry for your loss today , hope your going ok while your waiting for your op ? ...

christine's picture

Baggy Your right that is pure troll bait there I wouldn't be touching that one ...

mark ashford's picture

Well that's round 24 put to bed.
A couple of upsets but that's footy.
Hope you all did well.
Good luck next week!

BigPeteBx's picture

Mark - I really don't know what this crap style of play is, that Manly is delivering. Apart from CRAP.
They are far better than that. Two games to go and next week over to visit Steely in NZ and then Penrith at Brooky.
Should make it. I am critical of them, I know, but they should sit back here and watch their crap on tv, without excuses. Makes one cry in their beer.
Anything is a chance when down 12 points, then needing 14 points in 14 minutes. Even an acrobats chance in the corner knocking the "post" clean out, to show they are trying. Would not the inside upright of the post be considered the line. Touch it, and good night Irene. Touch it, they bent it.
Manly should be in finals. But don't wind their clock back a few years, when they made it from 7th. Different comp to state it will happen again.
Enough Mark, as I have swallowed another of those bitter pills that Baggy G mentioned to me, last time.

Cheers and have a nice week - Big Pete

BigPeteBx's picture

Tell me about it Steely.
I have to front him tomorrow. But that will be easy, as we are going better than they have been. Another Des getback.
I see you recall my post on that Steely - top marks "old" son.
Last week and this - is pure let down from players.
Cheers mate - Big Pete

BigPeteBx's picture

Yes Miss Mary - totally unexpected and total crap. They had their chances and dug their graves.
Oh well.....another day and week to come.
Have a good week in the balmy 30's. Cheers - Big Pete

christine's picture

Big pete Sorry for your loss with todays game & I hope your doing ok while your waiting to have your op ? ...

BigPeteBx's picture

Thanks Mark.
I am getting used to the haters....even when Manly play champagne footy, they'll still hate them - even for their flair.
Yes, for the Fortress fellow - it will be banging another drum with him.
As for Nepean Spud, he'll be happy over winning at Canberra.
Those two losses left me with 6/8.
Oh well - another week approaches.
Cheers - Big Pete

BigPeteBx's picture

Hello Christine - thanks for the commiserations on today. I can't prevent what rubbish they dish at us.
Hanging in their as I wait. Tuesday afternoon, they measure the eye for the lens.
Have a good week Miss C.
Big Pete

BigPeteBx's picture

Its ok Baggy - you can broadcast it, along with s/house display today.
Have a good week - Big Pete

The Thinker's picture

Greetings football fans. I've updated the NRL ladder and the tipping comp. Congratulations to the Melbourne Storm for taking out the 2017 Minor Premiership, and congratulations to GaryChesterUK...the only tipster that thought the Bulldogs would beat the Sea Eagles today.

I'll have the round 25 page published shortly, and my previews and selections should be there on Wednesday.

Prizes for top three and a random prize for someone else who sticks with it, and note that I can't win a prize.

All the best

 

Baggy_Gee's picture

Nah Pete, I watched the game today and from the get go you could see they were a beaten team. I'd kill to know what happened in that dressing room to suck it dry of unity, maybe one of the old hands is doing a Robbie and making the wrong noises. But there were some players putting in hard and hurting that the results weren't there. DCE put in hard for the first time ever that I have seen, even with that bung leg, I liked it, I'd let him come to the BOYS after that effort. But mentally something has gone missing. Don't know what but I'm not here to be an ass, it was a sad result, hopefully 2/2 to end will rebuild moral.

Johnny Awesome's picture

Hi all,
Hope everyone had a great weekend. Gotta hand it to you Big Pete, you are meticulous in your replies. You obvioulsy check the posts and make an effort to reply to all the folk individually. It's a caring trait mate :-]. For myself, I just miss stuff, forget stuff, don't know stuff and am constantly looking for my stuff. Yep at my age, its hard to keep tabs on all the stuff. For example, I've got daughters asking me have I seen their phones, for goodness sake I say, how would iI know where they are? I've got enough issues keeping tabs on where I put my stuff. Anyway all, and yes Mr Steel Panther, Canberra virtually lost that game in the first 20. The refereeing regarding the ten and slowing down the ruck was pretty ordinary in the first half, but Canberras ball handling and goal line was as per usual...ordinary. Canberra won't just good enough in the end and congrats to Penrith. Mr 'a', I agree that was an unsavoury incident when the refs walked through the tunnel. I hope the thug or thugs who did the spitting lose their privalges. The majority of Canberra supporters are vocal but don't act like idiots. I've been going to Canberra games for a long time, security is tight, volunteers do a great job, and its an atmosphere where you want to bring the family. I had my two neices there at the game as well. Individuals like the one above the tunnel don't reflect the real crowd.
Cheers all from Mr Awesome.

Steel Panther's picture

BigPete it must be comforting however to know you are coming to Auckland this weekend. Lock in your two points!! I'll be at the game only because I have free tickets. I am taking my brother-in-law who is a diehard Manly supporter. It's his 50th birthday today!! Sadly the Eagles could not deliver an early present for him yesterday but I'm sure they'll bounce back next weekend against a team who have never looked likely from round one!!

A scary thought though is do the Warriors have one good game left in them this year....hmmm.....now you're getting delusional Steely....I think Shaun Johnston could be back this weekend??

Steel Panther's picture

Johnny....I really expected more from the Raiders yesterday. It was a perfect day for footy weather wise, in front of a big home crowd with their season on the line. With regards to the refereeing I do agree that Penrith got away with slowing down the play the ball a lot. This frustrated the Raiders but honestly once they got their noses in front they should have kicked on all things considered. When the Raiders had Penrith on the ropes late on Rapana gave away a silly penalty that gave Penrith the field position and momentum. The rest is history....

Rocket Ryan's picture

Thinker scott m jagged the dogs

a's picture

Yeah there is good and bad supports at every club

Tigers717's picture

Hi Mr Thinker something has gone wrong with my points this week.I got 6 from 8 but you didnt give me any thanks Craig

Tigers717's picture

Hi Mr Thinker something has gone wrong with my points this week.I got 6 from 8 but received nil thanks Craig

Mary S's picture

Heard on the radio that the supporter who spat on the referee has been banned for 12 months!!

christine's picture

Neil henry has been sacked ...

christine's picture

Big pete Best of luck with everything big pete & let us know how it goes when you get a can ok ...

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