Round nineteen selections

Parramatta Eels vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Thursday night – ANZ Stadium

Not a lot of form to go with here (not good form anyway). These two teams have won just seven games this season, so the Rabbitohs have won almost twice as many as these sides put together. Somehow the Eels are favourites on Thursday night, probably because they look close to a win. That is certainly true, but winning has been quite the issue for the Eels this year, and it's hard to tip a team that keep finding ways to lose. In round 10 the Bulldogs beat the Eels 20-12, and this game is the 150th appearance for Josh Jackson. It's not a major milestone, but neither team has much to play for, and that might be enough.

Verdict – Bulldogs by 2

Result – Eels 14 defeated Bulldogs 8

Cronulla Sharks vs Canberra Raiders – Friday night – Southern Cross Group Stadium

The Raiders season isn't over yet, and they're playing some good football, but I've been burned by these Sharks v Raiders games often. For reasons unknown the Raiders don't handle the Sharks well. The injury to one of my favourite players in the NRL (Jarrod Croker) won't help either. With the Sharks well and truly in contention for a top four spot I have to tip them at home.

Verdict – Sharks by 4

Result – Sharks 28 defeated Raiders 24

Brisbane Broncos vs Penrith Panthers – Friday night – Suncorp Stadium

The Broncos were meant to celebrate win number 500 for Wayne Bennett last Sunday, but they never looked likely in what was probably their worst performance ot the season (and there's been a few contenders). Perhaps the timeslot got to them (they don't play in the sunshine very often), perhaps the occasion got to them...and perhaps they just aren't very good. I honestly don't know, but when I start to doubt the Broncos they usually pull out a performance to remind everyone they are still a top four team. Perhaps they will do so again. Perhaps. Meanwhile the Panthers have lost three of their last four. Their only win was a comprehensive flogging of the team that came out and comprehensiively flogged the Broncos on Sunday. A logical mind would be picking the Panthers, but my illogical gut is telling me the Broncos will be put through a thousand defensive drills this week and give us a show. As a Thinker, I should probably go with my head over my gut, but...

Verdict – Broncos by 4

Result – Broncos 50 defeated Panthers 18

Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans – Saturday afternoon – McDonald Jones Stadium

Mitchell Pearce returned for the Knights and the Knights returned to the winners circle in round 18 (but only just). One has to think that the Knights could have been playing finals football this season had Pearce and Ponga stayed fit and well. The Titans were competitive against the Roosters last weekend but that was far from the Chooks best seventeen.  The Knights at home.

Verdict – Knights by 8

Result – Knights 30 defeated Titans 24

Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Saturday night – ANZ Stadium

A home game for the Tigers but we're at ANZ, so I'm not sure what dressing rooms the Rabbits have to use. Only the Chooks could argue they have a richer history than the Bunnies (and they don't) but John Sutton notches up a first for the oldest club in the competition* – no other player has played 300 games in the red and green. Given his popularity with his team-mates I'm all but certain they'll be winning this one.

* the Rabbitohs were admitted into the inaugural 1908 competition seven days prior to the Roosters...one for the trivia buffs.

Verdict – Rabbitohs by 14

Result – Tigers 22 defeated Rabbitohs 6

North Queensland Cowboys vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Saturday night – 1300SMILES Stadium

The Dragons are in familiar territory here. In recent times they've often started the season strongly, and then limped to the finish line in September. That appears to be happening again, but they aren't limping as much as they used to. They probably peaked in late April/early May, with their impressive victory over the Chooks on ANZAC Day followed by a 20 point win over the Storm. They were fabulous then, but you want your team peaking now. I expect they'll get away with the win here, but it won't be convincing. The Cowboys should have just about defrosted by the time this game is underway. They'll be happier in Towsville after the road trip to Canberra and I wouldn't be shocked if they won this. I can't tip them though...sadly.

Verdict – Dragons by barely enough

Result – Dragons 24 defeated Cowboys 10

New Zealand Warriors vs Melbourne Storm – Sunday afternoon – Mt Smart Stadium

Unusually the Warriors away record this season (7 wins from 9) is vastly superior to their record at home (4 wins from 8). One of those losses was to the Storm and it was their biggest loss all year. The Storm have dragged themselves through Origin season without a single loss this year, at least in part due to the availability of Cameron Smith. Slater and Munster should be back on Sunday, and the Storm are looking like a team who could actually win back-to-back premierships. The Warriors were great against the Broncos but can they be trusted? I can always trust the purple machine.

Verdict – Storm by 10

Result – Storm 12 defeated Warriors 6

Manly Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters – Sunday afternoon – Lottoland

Manly were gallant in their loss to the Storm but that was against a team resting key players. A number of Origin stars will be back for the Chooks on Sunday, while Cronk is still a day-by-day proposition (push Tara push!). With the battle for top four positions well and truly alive the chickens will take some licken. Not impossible...but unlikely.

Verdict – Roosters by 4

Result – Roosters 56 defeated Sea Eagles 24

Wally Lewis - round nineteen selections (in bold)

Note: tips from Wally will be published on Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.

  • Eels vs BULLDOGS
  • SHARKS vs Raiders
  • Broncos vs PANTHERS
  • Knights vs TITANS
  • Tigers vs RABBITOHS
  • Cowboys vs DRAGONS
  • Warriors vs STORM
  • Sea Eagles vs ROOSTERS

Comments

Rocket Ryan's picture

Wow how about that couch potato looks like those Dynamite dreams have blown up in your face again just tell me this is there any chance at all you're going to score in the next half we need you to show something
anything.

mark ashford's picture

Coach's silence is deafening.
Guess you can cross Subcorp off your list of attacks Coachy.
You have a second half of footy to redeem yourself.
Time to say something, don't you think?

Rocket Ryan's picture

Silence is Golden

Baggy_Gee's picture

Worst set of refs of all time. Some pure bs, how Milford hasn't been binned yet is unbelievable. I'm glad this isn't a game involving the BOYS.

Baggy_Gee's picture

I'm just glad to see 2 more points on the board Dragon. We might have a hope to get over the line and avoid the wooden spoon.

Mary S's picture

One hell of a win by your team Rocket. They did you proud tonight!!
Panthers certainly lifted their attack in the 2nd half, but Broncos rose to the challenge.

mark ashford's picture

Baggy, so you thought Milf should have been binned.
Have seen many worst offences from your Eels.
Yet I continue to support you and your team, guess you just don't like to see a Qld team win.
Good luck with your run home trying to avoid the spoon.

mark ashford's picture

Coach......nothing from you, a little well done, or wow you were good.
Never mind mate, most of us enjoy your silence.

Baggy_Gee's picture

The guy was pulling a guys hair off the ball Mark, how did you miss that? I had no problems with the game just the standard of refing.

Rocket Ryan's picture

Enjoy your spoon baggy there's not many places it'll fit.

Baggy_Gee's picture

I can nominate a few places I could fit it up in Brisbane

christine's picture

Coach
Shall I remind you about my intuition when I said to you if Penrith want to be in the top 4 they better step it up a notch or two because there are a few teams on there heals that will step it up for finals footy & if Penrith don't start to they are leaving it too late ...

christine's picture

Coach
In all sincerity well played they did there best at the time ...

a's picture

I think the lost last night is keeping Coach silent

christine's picture

"a" Yes his silence is deafening but I can still hear him scream ...

Rocket Ryan's picture

I just see Nola Todd has a score of 95 before Thursday night wow makes me wonder why you're even bothering to see tiger girls tips how was it I haven't found your tips before with a strike rate like yours sign me up for a special preview of those tips.

Rocket Ryan's picture

Poor old coach and the chocolate soldiers back to that magnificent Clubhouse with the empty trophy cabinet I think Royce Simmons is giving a speech tonight on how to win a premiership get yourself a front row seat coach

christine's picture

Rocket ryan
Where did you manage to find nola todd's tips ? I do remember nola being on the tipping ladder at some stage but she doesn't appear to be now , do share rocket ...

christine's picture

Rocket
If nola todd wasn't on the tipping ladder before then she has posted comments before because I remember seeing them ...

christine's picture

Newbie
I have to say I have viewed your song of the week several times now & wish to know how long have they been around because I think I have heard that song before like mark I too grew up with ac/dc but mark has a few more years on me , no offence intended there mark by saying that ok ...

mark ashford's picture

Hi Chris, No offence taken. I liked most of the American & English metal bands. Can't get my head around hiphop or rap or whatever it's called.
Seems that you just squeeze as many "motherf---ers" in as possible and you have a hit.

christine's picture

Mark
To go with what you said I can't stand this whole grunge era , they seriously call that fashion & hip hop or rap not my thing at all I mean i'm only 45 but I can't relate to it at all ...

mark ashford's picture

Great comeback from the Knights this afternoon, down by plenty and missing Ponga they found a way.
Tipped the Titans but that's this season.
Heard this afternoon that NSW Ambulance was called to Penrith where a collapsed potato was crying it's "eyes" out.
After a quick examination it was taken away for a baking.

Rocket Ryan's picture

Poor effort by the Titans had a big enough lead to win the game just handed it back to the Knights weak as

mark ashford's picture

Hey Baggy,
Had another look at the Broncs-v-Panthers and yes you are right.
Don't know what Milf was thinking grabbing that guys hair, a complete brain snap, should have got 10 at least.

mark ashford's picture

Rocket
Watching the Broncs Friday they were a different team, hungry to win.
Sure the Panthers clawed a bit back in the second half mainly on the back of Peachy who is off to the Sharks next year.
Tigers are currently giving it to the Rabbits and Storm not as strong as they have been. What chance the Broncs feature in the GF?

Baggy_Gee's picture

I have just read that all he'll get for blatant bad sportsmanship is a $1500 fine. It was a shame that the game headed that way because some of the Bronco's tries were great. When the Panthers got a roll on, it seemed that 32 points might not have been enough. Good game and very impressive some of the young players.

Steel Panther's picture

Mark & Rocket.....a lot of talk about the Pangai try last night that the tackle was completed. Thoughts?

Steel Panther's picture

Rabbits gone Mark...sad for Johnny Sutton. Everything that could go wrong has...

Baggy_Gee's picture

Especially Cpt. Burgess, he ironed out Robbie comprehensively. Fair call and probably see a few weeks for it as well.

mark ashford's picture

Baggy the $1500 should go to the guy (sorry I can't recall his name) whose hair was pulled. May need to see Ashley Martin.
Ref's under fire again for the Sharks/Raiders game.
Dogs to be fined for their choice of jersey against your Eels.
Morris twins to be separated and going who knows where.
Is there any happiness in RL at this time?

Baggy_Gee's picture

I know it is madness, Knowing that the guy is a Panthers player throw a few hyphens in and you probably have it made. It was Fischer-Harris, I watched the Raiders/Sharks blunder and the Raiders were playing the whistle until the Ref moved his whistle to near his mouth, but if they had continued they would have given a penalty try away for interference or something similar. The Refs on Friday were rubbish to give them credit, and criminal if called correctly, they have lost the spirit of the game and the ability to feel how a game is going and maintain flow. I do enjoy watching Henry Perinara call the game, he is still close enough to a player to have that feel, while having control firmly in his hand, We need more.

christine's picture

Mark
I believe peachy is off to titans next year not sharks ...

TigerGirl's picture

Thanks for your concern Mary. Have been struggling with mums passing but I’ll get there. I put my tips here a few mins before your post. Hopefully The Thinker will record then for me as the link wasn’t showing when I tried to post. Kath

TigerGirl's picture

So pleased with Tigers win, just love rabbit stew.

Rocket Ryan's picture

Steel I thought that tackle was completed

Rocket Ryan's picture

A tiger holic the Tigers have won again without you what a miserable excuse for a supporter you've turned out to be

The Thinker's picture

TigerGirl

Sorry to hear about your Mum. I will add your tips to the comp when I'm scoring at the end of this round.

All the best

NuL1F3's picture

Another shocker of a weekend for me tips wise! Unfortunately, just can't keep the faith any longer, the Cows just don't seem to have anything left in the tank. So sad to farewell J.T. this way. It was always going to be a struggle against the more successful Dragons last night but I just can't help but feel they played like they just didn't want it enough. Realistically though, it's more likely they want it too much and being in the position they haven't found themselves in for many years have lost their mojo and as a result are making too many lower grade errors.

Well done to all the Tigers fans! Embarrassing Rabbitohs like that this season is no mean feat! On the flip side, how does a side go from getting absolutely flogged last weekend to giving a hiding of their own this weekend?? The math was simple in my mind, Warriors flog Broncos, Panthers beat Warriors... Panthers will have Broncos. Apart from the blind faithful, who else believed Broncos would come back this much?

Mary S's picture

I hear what you're saying NuLif3.
As a supporter, I hoped for a different result for the Cowboys match against the Dragons, particularly when a player of JT's calibre is playing in his last season. He has given a great deal to rugby, and to the Townsville community.
From the comments, I gather you went to watch the match?
Cheers,
Mary

Steel Panther's picture

NuL1F3 can't help but agree with you there. I see there's a lot of talk in the media this morning about the Cowboys taking a shot at goal when they have little to gain from a 5th win of the season. It made no sense especially when one of the attempts was when the Dragons had a man in the bin. Two turn overs lead directly to the two tries the Dragons scored right before half time with JT missing tackles in the lead up on both occasions. It's sad to see such a legend go out on such a low.

Steel Panther's picture

Hi Mary....yes hard for you Cowboys fans. Feel for JT but he has achieved a lot in the game and done his community proud!!

a's picture

NuL1F3 and Mary S I couldn't agree with you more as a Cowboys supporter I'm finding it hard to keep faith in the team hopefully we avoid the wooden spoon

NuL1F3's picture

Hi Mary, would have loved to go to the game but watched it from the comfort of my home. Like you I just really feel for J.T. in his last season and it's hard when we know our boys are so much better than this.

G-day SP, yeah I have seen that too and certainly agree with you in regards to those on field decisions.

NuL1F3's picture

Good morning a, how strange that these once mighty Cowboys are now fighting to avoid the wooden spoon!

a's picture

Yes it's very strange hopefully we can avoid the wooden spoon and have a good season next year

mark ashford's picture

Hi Steel, probably the best performance by the Broncs this year.
A couple of hiccups but the boys did well. The refs helped us on a couple of occasions but that's footy today.
See the Storm has sneaked home against your boys. Must be very frustrating supporting such a hot and cold team, Though no shame to loose against the Storm.

christine's picture

Don't sweet on coach not posting he's probably still licking his wounds from the loss he will come good in time ...

Mary S's picture

At HT it looks the Roosters are planning a demolition derby on the Sea Eagles, in a similar fashion to the Broncos/Panthers match.

Sea Eagles supporters -Hope your team are able to lift in the second half but it will be a huge ask.

Steel Panther's picture

Yes Mark a clinical display by Brisbane. It's hard to believe how teams turn in such Jekyll and Hyde performances from one week to the next. Storm always in control today but a better effort against them compared to our earlier season 50-10 drubbing. Blake Green missing today was a big blow.

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