Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs - Friday night – ANZ Stadium
Oddly enough the Tigers pay a heftier price during the Origin period than the defending premiers. The Bunnies lose their captain (Inglis) and he's hard to replace, but the Tigers are without their captain (Farah) and their best forward (Woods). These sides met back in round three, and the Bunnies triumphed with a fairly definitive four tries to one display. In that game Aaron Woods ran for 220 odd metres and Robbie Farah made 56 tackles. Those are tough shoes and numbers to fill. It's not all cut and dried though, as the Bunnies are also missing Luke and Reynolds - that's three quarters of the round three spine filled by replacements. Note the home ground location too - a cold wet night at Campbelltown and you could entertain an upset. At ANZ the red and green are the team with more sheen.
Verdict – Rabbitohs by 10
Result - Tigers 34 defeated Rabbitohs 6
New Zealand Warriors vs Sydney Roosters – Saturday night – Mt Smart Stadium
I don't mind backing the Roosters over the ditch - given that the tricolours have almost as many Kiwis in their 17 as the Warriors. Their performance against the Sharks was flat and four of their best are in Origin camp but I think they can bounce back with a win few will see coming. I have a huge wrap on their missing backrowers (Guerra and Cordnor) but they still boast a strong pack and some big boppers on the bench to share the load. Importantly the Warriors are without two of their most reliable forwards in Lilyman and Hoffman - the onus is on those that remain to stand up and keep on standing up. If they do the Warriors win this in a walk, but it's the Red, White and Bluesters for me. Hoping the Warriors still have jet lag after returning home from that away game on Neptune last weekend.
Verdict – Roosters by 4
Result - Roosters 25 defeated Warriors 21
Gold Coast Titans vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Sunday afternoon – CBus Super Stadium
If you told Dave Taylor he wouldn't be available for this game he would assume Big Mal had given him yet another chance at Origin level. Alas no...even with Myles and Bird unavailable it's the Tweed Heads Seagulls for Big Dave. At least the Star Buffet is good value. Even Dave Taylor couldn't eat all the Bulldogs players unavailable on the weekend - Morris, Morris, Graham, Hodkinson, Klemmer and Jackson. Despite all those missing in action I'm tipping the Doggies here - they have still pulled together a pretty decent seventeen and that halves combination of Reynolds and Mbye worked last weekend against the Dragons. That's good enough here.
Verdict – Bulldogs by 2
Result - Titans 28 defeated Bulldogs 14
Melbourne Storm vs Parramatta Eels – Monday night – AAMI Park
Parramatta were mostly good against the Cowboys - mostly good. If they repeat that performance they'll win this time, because there is no way known the Storm can score 30 points in 11 minutes without their big three. The Eels are near enough to full-strength (minus Hopoate) and have no excuse for dropping their hands this time. Even though there is talent coming through at the Storm they are very young and they need their big guns to steer them around. The Storm will try and win this game slowly and they'll compete, but I expect the Eels to pull away when it matters. Given the number of times in recent weeks the Eels have turned winning situations into losing ones I can't believe I'm about to say this - I'm pretty confident.
Verdict – Eels by 8
Result - Eels 26 defeated Storm 22
Wally Lewis - round fourteen selections (in bold)
Note: tips from Wally will be published on Thursday night or early Friday morning.
- Tigers vs RABBITOHS
- WARRIORS vs Roosters
- Titans vs BULLDOGS
- Storm vs EELS
Comments
Submitted by Coach Potato on
Apologies Steel, Mark, and Tiger. Belated perfect round applause. Harder to miss that now thanks to rainbows and mutant unicorns.
I'm right about the duck egg though, and five being layed tonight. (No play on words intended Footy Chick - much)
Submitted by Coach Potato on
If Parra come back from this? No. Just don't want to think about it.
Submitted by Coach Potato on
Gift wrap a head start, then come back and win? Hey, I think I've seen this TV show before somewhere. Horrible to know who's going to win at half-time, and that its not going to be the team in front.
Submitted by Coach Potato on
COREY NORMAN. $$$
Submitted by Johnny Ray on
EELS !!! #Bringbackthescrum ;-D
Submitted by a on
Do you think that was a Storm try with 50 secs to go
Submitted by The Thinker on
Evening football fans
Congrats to Johnny Ray with 3 from 4 - the only tipster to do better than 50% this round. Warriors....ouch!
A crowded leaderboard now with four at the top of the perch.
I'll keep the lights on at Thinker Central during Origin Game 2 if any of you are brave enough to join Coach and I jousting with each other - it's all good fun until someone jousts an eye.
All the best
Submitted by Johnny Ray on
Yeah that was try to Storm. It's because on field call from Ref was 'No Try' the Video Ref went with decision. In bad old days of benefit of the doubt that would of been awarded because though one of his hands had lost it, it looks like his other hand retained possession. Personally I considered myself really lucky that I won that game because cool, seriously, I really shouldn't of ! Go Blues ! #Bringbackthescrum ;-D
Submitted by Johnny Ray on
Thanks alot for that Thinker ! Yeah it's only taken me four months but I'm finally the top tipper this week ! Whoop ! Party ! https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ZWPAUimefCg ;-D
Submitted by Baggy_Gee on
Yeah, no try, Even if he had control of the ball it was promoted forward after the arm carrying the ball and ball had hit the ground. Yes to double movement and no to loose carry. But that other try, yes Sandow should have cleaned the ball up but I think the last time I saw a try scored from an offside position it involved Lockyer and Slater and a chip kick.
Submitted by Coach Potato on
More importantly, hope it grows back soon
Submitted by Steel Panther on
Duck egg for breakfast this morning.........they taste horrible!!!
Submitted by a on
I glad that I not me having to eat duck egg
Submitted by Johnny Ray on
http://www.sportal.com.au/league/nrl-premiership/video-were-the-storm-ro... ;-D
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