Round nineteen selections

St George Illawarra Dragons vs Gold Coast Titans – Friday night – UOW Jubilee Oval

Eighth plays ninth and the winner stays in the top half of the competition for at least another round (unless the Titans win and the Panthers beat the Eels by a lot more than anyone expects). I'm assuming Josh Dugan won't be playing after his jaw ran into the shoulder of Greg Inglis on Wednesday night - can it really be a shoulder charge when you're standing still? Nightingale is the logical replacement at fullback and he's not the sort of man to let his club down. These sides met earlier in the year and the Dragons prevailed on the Gold Coast by 19 points to 12. The Dragons have a very strong overall record against the Titans but, oddly enough, the Titans have won two from three at Kogarah. In any case this will be game number 250 in the NRL for Benji Marshall, and while his best football was with another club I'm sure the Dragons would like to celebrate that milestone with a win. Note that the Dragons have only scored more than 20 points in a game twice this year - once they scored 24 and lost and the other occasion was 30 points against the team running last. The Titans on the other hand have scored more than 20 points in a game on eight occasions. For the Dragons to win they'll need to contain the Titans attack, but I think they can I think they can.

Verdict – Dragons by 1

Result - Titans 32 defeated Dragons 12

Manly Sea Eagles vs New Zealand Warriors – Saturday afternon – NIB Stadium

Despite the online bravado from the Sea Eagles fans on this site, Manly have lost seven of their last eight games, and another loss here sees them in danger of being overtaken on the ladder by a team that had 12 points docked from their total. While most of their wins this season have been against the poorer teams (Roosters, Dragons, Knights) I will give them some credit for two of their wins:

  • they're the last team to beat the Sharks - way back in round three; and
  • they did beat the Warriors in New Zealand - way back in round six.

Obviously that win over the Warriors is worth noting, and while this game isn't at Brookvale the Sea Eagles have been clever enough to pick up a cheque and take this game to Perth. That's a long way for the Warriors to travel - they've played in Perth on four previous occasions and they're yet to win. Given they struggle to win when they travel to Sydney it's hardly surprising that the trip to Perth knocks them around. All those big Warriors in those tiny little airline seats. The Warriors are a warm favourite and on form that makes perfect sense but the travel has me leaning the other way.

Verdict – Sea Eagles by 2

Result - Sea Eagles 15 defeated Warriors 14

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Brisbane Broncos – Saturday night – ANZ Stadium

Those at Redfern Central will tell you the Bunnies can still make the finals. They aren't lying, but they do need to win seven of their last eight games, and during those eight games they have to play the teams that are currently 1st, 2nd, 4th, 5th, 6th and 7th on the ladder. That's quite a mountain they have to climb, and they haven't looked like mountaineers all season. Basecamp is the Broncos this weekend, who don't have to climb a mountain but they do have to dig themselves out of a hole. While they were completely flogged by the Storm last start I, like Wayne Bennett, saw glimpses of their best, particularly in the first ten minutes. The biggest concern is their defence, but I expect that's been a focus for them during the last two weeks - it needs to be. Reynolds was ruled out of Origin with injury but he's been named here ???, meanwhile this game will be without Greg Inglis and Corey Parker who are suspended following the chaos on Wednesday night. The Broncos have tapered mid-season previously and if my hunch is right they will rise again and prove to be a force when it matters most.

Verdict – Broncos by 7

Result - Broncos 30 defeated Rabbitohs 10

Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm – Sunday afternoon – Hunter Stadium

Bellamy may be tempted to rest a few of his key assets this weekend, but he probably won't and he probably shouldn't. The Knights on a Sunday afternoon should never be taken for granted, and the return of Mullen in the halves can only help. That said, the Storm were both clinical and brilliant in their dismantling of the Broncos, and anything near that level has to be too good for the Knights. That round 26 clash between the Storm and the Sharks looks more important every week.

Verdict – Storm by 22

Result - Storm 20 defeated Knights 16

Penrith Panthers vs Parramatta Eels – Sunday afternoon – Pepper Stadium

Rugby League is a team game, but the Eels beat the Roosters last weekend thanks to one player. That one player, Corey Norman, won't be playing this Sunday after being stood down by the club for you know what. So all of a sudden the Eels are without their most creative player and their most potent attacking weapon following the injury to Semi Radradra. Once again, the schedule has fallen favourably for the Penrith Panthers, but I said that last week and they got flogged anyway. Moylan, Mansour and Peachey return for the home side and they're close enough to full strength. I can't tip them confidently, and at $1.28 they are at toxic odds that shouldn't be touched by your worst enemy, but I'll give them another chance to prove to me they are the team I think they can be.

Verdict – Panthers by 8

Result - Panthers 22 defeated Eels 18

Sydney Roosters vs Cronulla Sharks – Monday night – Allianz Stadium

Why take $1.28 about the Panthers when you can take $1.48 about the Sharks? Excellent question Thinker....gamble responsibly.

Verdict – Sharks by 10

Result - Sharks 32 defeated Roosters 20

Wally Lewis - round nineteen selections (in bold)

Note: tips from Wally will be published on Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.

  • DRAGONS vs Titans
  • Sea Eagles vs WARRIORS
  • Rabbitohs vs BRONCOS
  • Knights vs STORM
  • PANTHERS vs Eels
  • Roosters vs SHARKS

Comments

mark ashford's picture

Tigerholic...wise words my man, well said.

Christine I'm trying to stay out of this "bullying" thing.
You should know from my past posts that of course I support you on this site.
Like the others who have left (for whatever reason) I would be sorry to see you go.
Stay with us Chris, your posts are always welcome.

Rocket Ryan's picture

Coach storm to avoid the couch this week the three of you look quite comfortable sitting there for another week.

tigerholic's picture

Coach

I'll take the Titans tonight please to keep me off the couch.

Have a great weekend

mark ashford's picture

Coach I wasn't going to do this but you did ask in a previous post what we all thought of Moylan's performance.
Overall I thought NSW had by far the better attack ( aided no doubt by a glut of penalties) whereas QLD had the better defense (forced on them by the same reason)
QLD gave away penalties in an effort to slow down the NSW attack, the Roosters have made an art form of this.
I defended Moylan after criticism of his game 2 performance and feel he stepped up big time in the halves.
Tedesco may be a bigger and stronger fullback (more in the mold of Inglis when fit) but Moylan will grow into and excel at either position as he matures.
A quote from Gould " He's a great young bloke, bit of a larrikin but most of all he is a footballer" Think that says it all.
I know a lot of commentators are calling for Robbie's head but gee he has given his all for NSW over the years.
Would be a different story if it was NSW 11 QLD 1.
Your only liability going into 2017 is Fiffita. He will end up costing you games unless he can control his temper.
Finally there has been lots in the NSW press about the QLD sledging.
I'm sure your Blues weren't just keeping quiet.
Anyway it's origin, fierce, passionate and the best game on the planet!

mark ashford's picture

Coach meant to add on the end of that lot....
Congratulations on your win!
I won't congratulate Gallen. It was the young blokes that did it.

christine's picture

Tigerholic I have put up with being bullied on this website for a long time now as some people on this website can vouch for it such as " a ", mark ,coach, thinker, tinkers little helper & more so think what you want to think but it's certainly isn't banter .

mark ashford's picture

Just heard SOO is going to Perth in 2019.
Unless there is a plan to bring in a WA team to the NRL what is the point of this?
Surely SOO is between NSW and QLD.
No problem with it going to Melbourne (storm players etc) but what does this mean for QLD and NSW supporters.
Massive costs with getting to Perth, accom etc and really how much support will it get from the people of Perth who are predominately ARL supporters having 2 teams in that comp.
Is there something the NRL isn't telling us?

christine's picture

Tigerholic I in the past have had people say to me on this website that if they knew were I live they would come to my house & punch me in the face & just recently the comment about using my face as a dart board , I certainly don't call that banter or being passionate about your footy .

mark ashford's picture

Christine I think Tiger (may I speak on his behalf) was just trying to diffuse the situation.
Yes in the past you have been bullied and I'm sure we're all sorry for that.
No one should be bullied you least of all.
Come on Chris you're a fighter put it behind you, only 8 rounds to go.
Are you still supporting your Rabbits?
If not who would you like to see in the grand final?
C'mon mate we're all in this together.

christine's picture

Mark I gave up supporting souths when luke announced he was leaving to go to the warriors & i'm not a member of any team this season but even though I don't support them I would like to see sharks win a grand final just for a change instead of the usual storm or broncos sorry about that mark I know broncos are your team & I do tip them myself & I meant no harm by saying that I just meant I want to see a team win that doesn't usually get to for a change & mark sorry to you for my earlier comment this morning I was p###ed off at the time & a lot more profanities came out than just that but I can't put those on the website .

Rocket Ryan's picture

Will cory norman turn left at todd carney drive and get himself lost

christine's picture

If he does there will be a bubbler waiting for him .

tigerholic's picture

Thats the way Christine, that was funny.

The person who made the dart board comment is gone I believe, you need to keep on keeping on with the good ones on this site, Coach would miss you too!!

mark ashford's picture

Rocket you and Christine are on the same page, had a good laugh at that.
Wish I was getting paid what these so called superstars are.
What's wrong with them. Then again if I was getting their paypackets I may just be as bad.
Chris I don't think the Broncs will get there this year and agree with you would be happy to see the Sharks get a trophy in the cabinet.
even though I detest Gallen. (apologies to all Sharkies fans)

mark ashford's picture

With apologies to Baggy
Also just heard it is alleged that Corey Norman and James Segyaro are involved in a sex tape too explicit to be shown before 3am.
Apparently both players were aware of the filming and it was offered for sale at $150,000 a copy.
No takers too expensive!
What I have to ask is this....what about the unfortunate young ladies involved. Where they asked if they wanted to be filmed and sold?
I'd bet not.
These grubs need to be prosecuted and gone from our game.
There is something deeply wrong at the Eels if this is true.
What has happened to this once great club?

BoozeMaster2000's picture

I don’t think anyone should be banned. I didn’t see any bullying as such, just some serial killer type comments about inflicting torture upon an unsuspecting victim with a dart set. Not exactly what you’d expect to see on a footy forum, but meh….no biggie. It’d be a boring old world if we didn’t have a few psychos in our midst. I say give him a chance…I’m interested to see where he’s going with this.

BroncoSwimmer's picture

Coach, put me down for Broncos this weekend please,
Regards,
BroncoSwimmer

christine's picture

Mark gallen is a grub I don't disagree with you on that , same as greg bird I don't know how anyone had a child with him I really don't think very much of either one of them but you can't blame a whole team on account of one player .

Tailspin's picture

Hey everyone, here is my tips
Titans
Warriors
Broncos
Storm
Panthers
Sharks
And put me down for Panthers Coach please.

Coach Potato's picture

Last One On The Couch - week 5

+++ I need to quickly add one more rule.
The only time you can pick a loser and stay in is if everyone goes out in the same week. If this happens, everyone that was left is back in the next week. This hasn't happened yet, so no different than if this was a rule from the start.

# Tailspin and Big Pete, you have 60 minutes. Tick, tick, tick

1. Coach - PAR_CRO_NZ_TIG (Pullin' Up A Couch)
2. Mark - NZ_COW_CAN_BUL_MEL (I’m Still Standin’)
3. Baggy - NZ_DRA_MAN_PAR_G/C(I’m Still Standin’)
4. Rick - NZ_MEL_CAN_PAN(Pullin' Up A Couch Somewhere)
5. Tailspin - PAR_DRA_TIG_BUL (I’m Still Standin’)
6. a - G/C_COW_CAN_BUL_MEL(I’m Still Standin’)
7. Newbie - G/C_COW_CAN_BUL_MEL(I’m Still Standin’)
8. Tigerholic - NZ_MEL_CAN_BUL_G/C(I’m Still Standin’)
9. Rocket - PAR_PAN_CAN_BUL_MEL(I’m Still Standin’)
10. christine - NZ_PAN_MAN_PAR_G/C(I’m Still Standin’)
11. Big Pete Bx - PAR_MEL_CAN_BUL(I’m Still Standin’)
12. Thinker - MEL(Pullin Up A Couch Somewhere)
13. BoozeMaster2000 - NZ_DRA_BUL_CAN_BRI (I’m Still Standin’)
14. Broncoswimmer - NZ_MEL_CAN_BUL_BRI(I’m Still Standin’)

Coach Potato's picture

Footy Chick, iTGIF right?

BigPeteBx's picture

Evening Thinker Tippers.
Hope u r all well or as could be. Yes, I've been quiet but its been expected with some issues to deal cards at.

My Round 19 Tips for this week are:
TITANS
MANLY
BRONCOS
STORM
PANTHERS
SHARKS

Last one on the Couch - SEA EAGLES

Cheers and catch up with you all later
Big Pete

Coach Potato's picture

1. Coach - PAR_CRO_NZ_TIG (Pullin' Up A Couch)
2. Mark - NZ_COW_CAN_BUL_MEL (I’m Still Standin’)
3. Baggy - NZ_DRA_MAN_PAR_G/C(I’m Still Standin’)
4. Rick - NZ_MEL_CAN_PAN(Pullin' Up A Couch Somewhere)
5. Tailspin - PAR_DRA_TIG_BUL_PAN(I’m Still Standin’)
6. a - G/C_COW_CAN_BUL_MEL(I’m Still Standin’)
7. Newbie - G/C_COW_CAN_BUL_MEL(I’m Still Standin’)
8. Tigerholic - NZ_MEL_CAN_BUL_G/C(I’m Still Standin’)
9. Rocket - PAR_PAN_CAN_BUL_MEL(I’m Still Standin’)
10. christine - NZ_PAN_MAN_PAR_G/C(I’m Still Standin’)
11. Big Pete Bx - PAR_MEL_CAN_BUL_MAN(I’m Still Standin’)
12. Thinker - MEL(Pullin Up A Couch Somewhere)
13. BoozeMaster2000 - NZ_DRA_BUL_CAN_BRI (I’m Still Standin’)
14. Broncoswimmer - NZ_MEL_CAN_BUL_BRI(I’m Still Standin’)

Coach Potato's picture

Was just having my daily thinking time, and have come up with a new to finals tipping comp.

It's called Last One Through The Finals.

Same principle as Last One On The Couch.
People just need to tip as normal before each weeks finals.
Only those that keep a perfect record stay in.
If there's more than a few left come Grand Final, I'll think of a tie-breaker. Plenty of thinking time between now and then.

a's picture

Does the last one on the couch tipping comp last through to the finals if there are more than 1 remaining

Fortress eagle's picture

Just to set the record straight Christine my dart board joke was not meant for you I would never ever offend or hurt a women ever. Coach and the cows supporter turned that around and made it out to be you if you go back and read the post it wasn't directed at you Christine I know ur struggles and the way you have been treated on this site it was directed towards a person that has attacked me and my club on this site ever since I came on,

I'm sorry Christine but it had nothing to do with you I have no hatred towards you stay on the site and defeat these lieing bullies you can if you fight for it at least your post have purpose and a meaning once again Christine it had nothing to do with you it was to do with a so called man,

That's it I'm done Stop the lies coach you know it had nothing to do with Christine but one of your mates you should talk the abuse and attacks you have given me and the rest of your mates you won't win you think you own this site why don't you get off your behind and go for a walk instead of buldging your way through life every dog has his day coach and cows supporter ,

God I wanna get off it makes me sick been on here I hate this site I'm glad I came on to clear this with Christine and now goodbye and punt high and follow on,

Eagles for ever the greatesttttt

Coach Potato's picture

Yeah close the door behind you thanks

Baggy_Gee's picture

Hey joker, good to see you posting back here.

tigerholic's picture

See ya later Fortress, a little too late old mate!!!!! Maybe you could start your own footy tipping site, you could call it "last one on the esky"

Fortress eagle's picture

Christine it was not directed at you coach and that cows supporter turned it around and made it like I was referring to you sorry I would never hurt or abuse women never ever I know what ur going through but the coach potato the bulger is a liar I'm sorry if you thought it was referred to you the one it was referred to knows who he is hiding behind others on this site what a coward,

Once again sorry Christine I would never ever abuse or critisie you never,

I'm sick of this site I will never ceme on here again waste of time goodbye to all ,

Eagles for ever the greatest for evererrrrrrrrrr

tigerholic's picture

Yeah, good to see you back joker

Baggy_Gee's picture

I turn the football on and it seems I am missing a cracking game. Nice kick off a grubber a one on one strip. Big bust. Love it.

ChrisFromNSW's picture

Great call on the Titans V Dragons game. What went wrong, Thinker?

Baggy_Gee's picture

What was your take on the game before kick off Chris?

mark ashford's picture

Worst game I've ever seen the Dragons play. Do they miss Benji and the tattooed one so much?
Titans made Frizelle look second rate and that huge xcon Packer where was he?
Mary has plenty to answer for.

Christine, Fortress was not referring to you regarding the dart board. Don't know how you thought it was you?
"a" hates Manly Fortress loves Manly it's as simple as that.
Coach loves to stir things up here and I don't know why.
His attacks on the Broncos over the past couple of years have annoyed me. For some reason he is not happy to just talk football but likes to make it personal.
Coach has been very critical of all posts made by Fortress and he has fired back because he is a passionate Manly fan.
OK sometimes Fortress goes a bit overboard but he is just defending his club.
I think we should take a deep breath, calm ourselves and just get back to commenting on the football.
Fortress if you can do that and ignore any personal bullshit, I'm sure Thinker and others would welcome you here as a Manly fan.
Look at BigPete's comments, friendly, no controversy, nothing personal,and always enjoyable to read.
Dam I picked the red V to win tonight!

ChrisFromNSW's picture

Titans to win, perhaps by two tries. Not for St George to fall on their sword.

mark ashford's picture

Good call ChrisFromNSW
Why don't you post pre-game like the rest of us?

newbie from perth's picture

@ mark ashford

G’day Mark. Thanks for the “SOO in Perth” comment. Mate, this is HUGE over here. People have been talking about nothing else all day. As to why this is happening, well I suppose there’s any number of reasons why and yes, it will cost mega bucks if you want to come over here for the game and I do feel sorry for the fans over on the East Coast who will miss this game but …

You can no doubt look online for some news on this but if anyone out there prefers, just click on the following ABC news link and have a quick read, if you haven’t already:

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-07-15/perth-to-host-2019-state-of-origin...

Basically, the WA Government will hand over a few million bucks for the right to have SOO2 played at our new Perth Stadium in 2019. Based on estimates from the WA Tourism Council, visitors from interstate will spend about $15 million while they’re over here for the game. Spend 3 million to get 15 back. Sounds like a good plan. Time will tell my friend, time will tell.

Regardless, Newbie will be at the new stadium come 2019 (and it will be awesome) but watching a SOO match at Suncorp is still on the bucket list. Trust me Mark, this game at the new 65,000 seater stadium WILL be sold out and at record speed! That is something I can guarantee you my friend.

Anyway, only 3 years to wait! Boo-Ya!

EagleROCKS's picture

just thought i say hi.
Go Manly to win!!

EagleROCKS's picture

Just wanted say that my good freiend fortress is not a bully or would never abuse or attack weomen. we all go to many games at brookvale amd if their is one person who stands out in the crowd then it him. fortrus is very passinate about his club like no other person i've never met.

I read throug previous post and the abuse that he has recived form some people. but i won't name them, is discusting. He deserves respect for his passion to his club.

May i say Long live fortruss and Go the Mighty Eagles.
And everone have a good weekend, and rock out.

BoozeMaster2000's picture

Its Cliffy Lyons, isn't it?

BoozeMaster2000's picture

Btw, if anyone notices me tipping the dragons again this year, please rush over and head butt me in the pebbles.

a's picture

Well Foetess you know that you the one that started it no me Coach or Christine we are all nice

The Thinker's picture

Greetings ChrisfromNSW,

Unfortunately I have to write these things quite a few days before the games actually start - often there's a game 6 days after I've written a preview for it. A lot can happen in that time.

If you read my preview of the Friday night game much of the premise behind my tip is that this was game number 250 for Benji Marshall.

The next day I added this in the comments:
Update - Benji Marshall won't be playing this week. Urgh! My tip stands.

In those moments you could still get $2.10 about the Titans on Friday night. At the kick-off they were $1.68 so if you are quick off the mark there are opportunities out there if that is your thing (gamble responsibly).

Anyways....the whole premise of my tip was up in smoke, but I have to stand behind the tips I make because I can't exactly chop and change my selections every ten minutes. If I did, the people reading my tips on a Wednesday get a completely different preview to the people reading my tips on a Thursday. Whatever I publish stands, even if I don't like it. I add comments if there are major changes to team line-ups that I think will have a major bearing on the game, but I have to stick with my initial tip.

The Titans were great last night...and they've been great for most of the year. For a team most thought would finish last they've done very well indeed.

And well done for picking the Titans - feel free to post your thoughts before the games start each and every week.

All the best

The Thinker's picture

Regarding the State of Origin game in Perth - the best thing about that for me is this.

They'll be playing during the day to fit in with the prime time scheduling on the East Coast (just like the Perth test matches in the cricket).

Daytime conditions = better rugby league.

I love it, and it's great for Newbie too.

The Thinker's picture

Actually....it probably won't be played during the day, probably a 6.30pm kickoff or something. Oh well....it's still great for Newbie.

christine's picture

To everyone on this website : I don't really care who is on this site as long as there is no bullying or threats , we are all welcome on this site & if someone says something you don't like just don't react it's that simple seath about it as much as you like but don't post it in comments ( have a breather calm down then return )doesn't that make sense we are all here for the same reason footy i'm no ones enemy or against anyone so everyone play nice & all will be good ok ...

Coach Potato's picture

New moniker doesn't fool anyone. Same spelling and grammar problems. Thought this site made you sick and I thought you were off playing darts?

EagleROCKS's picture

I would like to say that I am not Fortress, Mr Couch Potato do you think that their is only one Manly supporter in this world, and do you think me and Fortress are the only one's with grammer and spelling mistakes.

Well I am here to tell everbody that Couch should not be on this site for his bullying his threats, his lies and constant attack on other peoples football clubs.

I am willing to prove that i am not Fortress in every possible way and end this bulling from this person who disregards, disrespects others on this site.

Thank you all . If any one needs proof that I am not Fortress please do not hesitate to ask me questions.

Doesen't this prove the hatred that this man who thinks he owns this site and i am willing to prove to anyone that I am not Fortress.

For God sake their is more than one Manly supporter, why can't Mr Potato respect that.

We are all welcome on this site and we need to stop the master of hate and bullying.

Go the mighty Eagles to win today.

christine's picture

Everyone I respect your rights to support your teams but lets play nice or we will only annoy the Thinker & annoying the Thinker is a bad thing to do so lets stop right now & move on anything that's happened is in the past were it belongs so lets leave it there & move on ok ...

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