Round six selections

Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Thursday night – Suncorp Stadium

Sometimes I repeat myself. Often times its because I'm a tad forgetful, but occassionally I repeat myself because I'm trying to make a bloody good point. Last week I mentioned the Dragons had scored just three tries in their last four hours of football. We're now up to 5 hours and 20 minutes, and they're still on three tries. Their last two away outings have yielded no tries at all, and here they are in another away game, against a team that recently beat the team that just beat the Dragons 36-0. The Broncos are yet to taste defeat at home this season, and I suspect I can repeat that statement in a weeks time.

Verdict – Broncos by 10

Result - Broncos 26 defeated Dragons 0

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Sydney Roosters – Friday night – ANZ Stadium

At the start of the season I would have highlighted this game in the schedule, but a lot can change in five weeks. The Eels/Raiders clash the next day looks more enticing, and I would never have said that five weeks ago. These sides actually met in round one when the Rabbitohs put the Chooks to the sword in a clinical display. Things have only gotten worse for the tricolours since then. Losing is a much harder habit to break than winning, and there's no reason to think they've cured their woes yet. To make matters worse, the Rabbitohs will take great delight in pinning some tailfeathers to the bottom of the ladder. No doubt the Chooks will try - there's every chance they'll lift and give us their best performance of the year thus far, but they shan't be winning. No they shan't.

Verdict – Rabbitohs by 10

Result - Roosters 17 defeated Rabbitohs 10

Parramatta Eels vs Canberra Raiders – Saturday afternoon – Pirtek Stadium

I'm teetering here, and I'm very close to tipping the Raiders. Their form is tremendous, their record against the Eels is good and they have a better strike rate in daytime games. That's three good reasons to tip them, but here are my three reasons I'm not:

  1. Successive away games and a short turnaround from Monday night.
  2. Iosia Soliola is out and he give the Raiders some real punch in the middle third.
  3. Nathan Peats is back for the Eels, and if he can keep his body together long enough he'll be quite the footballer.

It seems odd to say this, but we could be looking at the game of the round. If you like a bet back the Raiders with the handicap start - if they don't win I don't think they'll lose by much.

Verdict – Eels by 2

Result - Eels 36 defeated Raiders 6

New Zealand Warriors vs Manly Sea Eagles – Saturday night – Mt Smart Stadium

The Warriors are a frustrating outfit at the worst of times, so I've made a bit of an effort to avoid watching them this season. I didn't think I was missing out on much, until I found out (just now) that the Warriors have an interchange player named 'Jazz'. That is outstanding, and some very brave parenting from someone out there. I don't know if Jazz is any good, but I have a copy of 'Kind of Blue' by Miles Davis...and I will listen to it, right after this game. For reasons I can't quite fathom the Warriors are a very short priced favourite here. They did beat the Roosters last week...just, but the Sea Eagles just beat the Roosters too. Granted the Sea Eagles are missing a few key personel, but they win a lot more games at Mt Smart Stadium than the Warriors. Trent Barrett has given his side a nice little freshen up leading into this game and I'm taking a punt that they'll respond positively.

Verdict – Sea Eagles by 4

Result - Sea Eagles 34 defeated Warriors 18

Penrith Panthers vs North Queensland Cowboys – Saturday night – Pepper Stadium

At the risk of upsetting our resident Coach Potato, the Panthers are lucky they aren't sitting on zero points right now. They deserved the wins they got, and they were against decent opposition, but if things didn't work out they could be hanging out with the Roosters (and after the Mitchell Pearce fiasco no-one wants to socialize with them). Now at the risk of pleasing our resident Coach Potato, the Panthers could also, with a little more luck, be entrenched in the top four. All their losses, like their wins, have been by narrow margins. I happen to think the Panthers are a team on the rise - Matt Moylan will improve each week, and Segeyaro and Whare should return in the next fortnight or so. Now at the risk of upsetting our resident Coach Potato yet again, I won't be tipping them here. The Cowboys are the form team in the NRL right now and, given the Panthers victories over the Broncos and Eels, they'll be preparing for a contest on Saturday night. If this game was mid-winter and smack-bang in the middle of the Origin series I could entertain a victory for the locals...but not right now. Here's a little stat for you - five games down and Jonathan Thurston is yet to make a single error this season. All those touches and all that running around like a terrier in defence...and not a single error. If he keeps this up he might end up being a pretty decent footballer one day.

Verdict – Cowboys by 4

Result - Cowboys 23 defeated Panthers 18

Cronulla Sharks vs Gold Coast Titans – Sunday afternoon – Southern Cross Group Stadium

As a man who likes to poke sticks at the Cronulla club from time to time it unnerves me a little to say this, but here goes - I like the look of this squad. They have the combination of tough, aggressive forwards, level-headed playmakers and exciting backs just about right. Can they actually bring the Shire their first premiership? I say no, but the rumblings have already started on the beaches. Ben Barba appears to have his zing back, and rugby league is a much better spectacle when the little men are zinging. As for the Titans, they've won more games than they've lost - not too bad for the team most assumed would run last. This challenge might be just beyond them - Cameron Cullen makes his NRL debut in the halves and this won't be the easiest place to start your first grade career. There are a few other notable inclusions for the visitors (David Shillington, William Zillman), and they'll give this a good shake. The Sharks to prevail, shaken but not stirred. The name is Bird...Jack Bird.

Verdict – Sharks by 4

Result - Sharks 25 defeated Titans 20

Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers – Sunday afternoon – Hunter Stadium

If the Knights repeat that effort from last week they beat the Tigers on Sunday, particularly with the support of a home crowd. I do have a rich history of backing the Knights in these Sunday afternoon fixtures in the Hunter, and it's a strategy that has served me well over the years. But, and there's always a but, this is very young Newcastle squad, and its quite the challenge to back up after a strong effort and produce another strong effort. I suspect they'll be below their best this weekend, and that's a level that doesn't win games in the NRL. The Tigers have lost three games in a row, but they've been competitive. Narrow losses to the Sharks and the Eels is better form than it used to be. Curtis Sironen returns to an otherwise settled Tigers line-up. You want to have points in you to win these afternoon fixtures, and the Tigers have scored 114 in five games - not bad given that they won game where they didn't score at all.

Verdict – Tigers by 8

Result - Knights 18 defeated Tigers 16

Melbourne Storm vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Monday night – AAMI Park

There are four teams below the Storm on the ladder with a better points differential this season, including the Bulldogs. Such is the nature of the purple machine, particularly early in the season where they do enough to keep on winning and not much more. They aren't at their best, but they've won four from five and are undefeated at home. Their only loss came at the hands of the Sharks on a Monday night in Cronulla, and even then they only conceded 14 points. This is a difficult team to tip against, even when you know they aren't firing on all cylinders. While the Storm are a metronome, the Bulldogs remain a riddle wrapped inside an enigma. Just when you convince yourself they're a premiership force (racking up 42 points against the Bunnies) they underperform a week later in a game where I had them pegged as a lock. I'll stick with what I know, and I know the Storm. I don't expect it to be pretty, but they'll get the job done. I've a feeling this game will be the lowest scoring for the round - adjust your betting accordingly.

Verdict – Storm by 7

Result - Bulldogs 18 defeated Storm 12

Wally Lewis - round six selections (in bold)

Note: tips from Wally will be published on Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.

  • BRONCOS vs Dragons
  • RABBITOHS vs Roosters
  • EELS vs Raiders
  • WARRIORS vs Sea Eagles
  • Panthers vs COWBOYS
  • SHARKS vs Titans
  • Knights vs TIGERS
  • STORM vs Bulldogs

Comments

Johnny Ray's picture

Wow ! Even Wigan Warriors in English Super League competition both suck and blow having been beaten today by Wakefield Wildcats 62 - Nil. Dude :-(

Coach Potato's picture

Hey tonibet, you out there?

You tipped Danny Willett to win the US Masters exactly a year ago. Hope you backed up. Was not such a great forecast of 2015, but was a great eye into the future.

The Thinker's picture

Evening football fans,

I've updated the tipping comp and the NRL ladder. Most people scored 4 or 5 this round but just about everyone got there in a different way. Rick retains his lead by the narrowest of margins while 'a' leads the peloton.

I'll have the round seven page published late tomorrow and will get my previews and selections published on Wednesday.

All the best

christine's picture

I'm now on 30 points after only getting 4 / 8 for this week .

mark ashford's picture

Hi Christine, thanks for the update mate. Not sure if that's good news or bad news but I certainly hope it's good (don't know too much about ms)
Anyway mate keep your chin up and please keep us informed.
I'm not the only one on this site who cares.
Big Pete BX Ah so it's Bathurst closest I've been except for a drive through was 3 weeks in Orange doing a job for Council. Loved Orange but nearly froze my whatsis off as it was in May. Was told it snowed the week after I left.
Be a proud Manly fan mate. They've been one of the better performers for years (and DCE is a QLDER!!!! just kidding)
Bribie Island is a separate island just north and west of Moreton Island.
On a map of Moreton Bay it sits tucked in quite close to the coast and is the only QLD island connected by bridge to the mainland.
Enough geography talk!
COACH your Panthers will be there when it counts (barring serious injury toll) They are showing the grit required to win. Roosters this week at Allianz should be a cracker.
Bunker and ref's decisions not improving I guess we just gotta live with it.

a's picture

Here is the update for the people who are not on the tipping ladder

Islander 30

The_NRL_Whisperer 27

parrafan 26

BigPeteBx 23

Dragons fanboy 2007 20

The Joker 17

West Tiger Steven 13

witch means after 6 rounds Islander is in front by 3 can any of the other 6 catch him

mark ashford's picture

Well done "a"
AND your Cowboys will be there at the end.
There's a lot of criticism of Jamie Soward this week.
I have to say I'm not a big fan of Jamie BUT every team needs a goal kicker and Jamie is one of the best (not far behind JT)
All I would say is I would like to see him take on the line a bit more. He seems to play hot potato when he gets the ball...can't get rid of it quick enough. Last game against the Cowboys he received the ball about 5 meres out and a big hole opened up with the defence going right to stop who he would be passing to. The hole was big enough for me to run through but Jamie passed where most halfs would have had a go. Resulted in the play being shut down.
Is he scared of being tackled? Perhaps Griff could suggest once or twice during a game he "had a go at the line" Would confuse the defence as he never does.
Your thoughts Coach?

Coach Potato's picture

3 years ago he was hailed as the fastest NRL player over 40m. Not sure why using a bit of speed even out of dummy half ala Segeyaro would upset the plans so much? They pretty much rely on ball players to get an offload away, else don't seem to run it through the backs unless they have a huge roll-on. Would love to see Panthers play the old style deep back line, 30-40m back to the winger. Let attackers come to you, then draw players out of the defensive line and pass back 5 metres to a support. Defensive structures would be in chaos but somehow Coaches only know the flat attack. Watch the super crisp passing interplay between Te Maire and DWZ with the opening try last week and know what great footy this team has in them.

My biggest cringe so far is not Soward offloading the ball, but the fact he never passes it to Te Maire. A number 7 who never passes to number 6 !?! For a team to have beaten Parra and Broncos with that kind of limitation. For 70minutes were on top of the Cowboys with that limitation. That tells me the rest of their game must be up with the best.

Please Panthers. The trials are finished. What the hell are you waiting for. Free Te Maire. Let him show you what he can do.

Dragons fanboy 2007's picture

I hope that I get to catch up to him. I'm far behind but it's still only the start. Hope the Dragons can score some points against the Titans this week. We've been horrible in the last two weeks. We need to show some discipline this week. Good luck to the rest of the tipsters not on the tipping ladder. And it's great to see you back Joker.

a's picture

Dragons fanboy 2007 anything can happen

Islander's picture

Thanks "a" for the updates. Got 6/8 round six. Would have been right up there with you had i made the official comp, still early days though. things could get better!.... or worse. thanks again everyone.

Dragons fanboy 2007's picture

Yes you're right there 'a' anything can happen.

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