Round seven selections

Three things The Thinker learned in round six

  1. Now that the NRL Commissioner has finished with the Commonwealth Games it might be a good idea to do a crash course on who is who in the NRL.
  2. Six teams have conceded less than 100 points this season, and they sit in the top six spots on the ladder.
  3. I was right last week when I said the Tigers would make the top eight this year – I should probably start tipping them.

Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters – Thursday night – ANZ Stadium

Rugby league forwards may be a simple people, but they are a proud people. The Roosters pack wouldn't be pleased with what they delivered against the Bunnies in round five, and their coach wouldn't have been pleased either. They'll be focused on rectifying that this week, and I expect a better performance as a result. If that eventuates, I expect the Chooks backline can outscore the Bulldogs. The Bulldogs performance against the Cowboys was clearly their best this season, but just about everyone is beating the Cowboys in 2018. I can't tip the Bulldogs on the back of one good performance.

Verdict – Roosters by 8

Result – Roosters 6 defeated Bulldogs 0

New Zealand Warriors vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Friday night – Mt Smart Stadium

Undefeated in 2018, the Dragons have the second best defence in the NRL and their attack has scored 50+ points more than the second best attack in the NRIL. The second best attack in the NRL is the Warriors, who lost their first game of the year last weekend. The Dragons overall record against the Warriors is hard to ignore, although the ledget evens up considerably at this venue. That said, I see no reason to disembark the Dragons train at this point. The Rabbitohs got close to them two weeks ago and they came out and blitzed a more-fancied rival. The Dragons then went out and racked up 40 against the Sharks. Easily the game of the round – it's the Red V for me.

Verdict – Dragons by 8

Result – Warriors 20 defeated Draqons 12

Brisbane Broncos vs Melbourne Storm – Friday night – Suncorp Stadium

Two of the genuine heavyweights of the NRL, and both have won just half of their games this season (amazingly just four teams have won more than half their games this year). Both teams have been spluttering along in 2018 but we had better performances from both last weekend. Jack Bird in the halves looks like a playmaking solution for the Broncos, and the Storm were better with Ryley Jacks in the halves too. One would assume that the Broncos beating the Warriors in Auckland is more impressive than the Storm beating the Knights in Melbourne...and it is. But I'm finding it hard to ignore the record of the purple machine at Suncorp – 12 wins from 15 games is an extraordinary away record against an NRL powerhouse.

Verdict – Storm by 4

Result – Storm 34 defeated Broncos 20

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Canberra Raiders – Saturday afternoon – Central Coast Stadium

The Bunnies ran right through the Roosters last week, and they get Sam Burgess back this weekend. It took a while for the points to come, but they came eventually. I think they can carry that momentum into this game, and there was a glimmer of the old Greg Inglis last weekend too. There's nothing at all wrong with what the Raiders have dished up over the last fortnight either. Points everywhere on Saturday afternoon folks – you could do a lot worse than park your eyeballs in front of this contest.

Verdict – Rabbitohs by 4

Result – Rabbitohs 42 defeated Raiders 22

Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights – Saturday night – Scully Park

Scully Park, for those that don't know, is in Tamworth (I didn't know either...I cheated...but it looks a picture). The Tigers are having a season to remember – their only loss has been to a team that couldn't score a try. I don't know if conditioner Ronnie Palmer has any more energy boxes in his bag of tricks, but the Tigers will just win again. I just have to tip them. FInally...I have to tip them. Benji Marshall could win the Dally M if he keeps it up.

Verdict – Tigers by 14

Result – Knights 22 defeated Tigers 20

North Queensland Cowboys vs Gold Coast Titans – Saturday night – 1300SMILES Stadium

Paul Green has extended his tenure at the Cowboys for another three years, and the locals will be hoping it doesn't take that long to turn this ship around. The Cowboys haven't won since they scraped home in JT's 300th game way back in round one. On form you could hardly tip the Cowboys against anyone, but the Titans have injury concerns (Peats and Copley are out...Arrow is a maybe). Home ground advantage is about all I have to go with here. Not remotely confident.

Verdict – Cowboys by 2

Result – Cowboys 26 defeated Titans 14

Parramatta Eels vs Manly Sea Eagles – Sunday afternoon – ANZ Stadium

The salary cap penalty is starting to hit home for Manly as they start looking behind the couches for any footballers they may have forgotten about. Darcy Lussick has been shipped off to Toronto to ease the strain, and it looks like they are hoping to get Jackson Hastings off their books too. They have enough players for this weekend, but they're getting dangerously close to the bottom of the well. The Eels just need a win, and while the loss to the Raiders didn't suggest a win was close, I have a hunch things might fall their way this weekend. Jarryd Hayne returns on the wing which should be okay (most of his better Origin performances have been as a winger). The Sea Eagles have conceded plenty of points in recent weeks and they aren't renowned travellers. I've surprised myself a little here but...

Verdict – Eels by 8

Result – Eels 44 defeated Sea Eagles 10

Cronulla Sharks vs Penrith Panthers – Sunday afternoon – Southern Cross Group Stadium

Gallen is out. Graham is out. Lewis and Fifita have been named but even if they line up you'd have to wonder if they can finish the game. Whatever forwards remain for the Sharks will be fully tested by the Panthers who are showing the sort of form many of us thought we would see last season. Maloney will relish the opportunity to take on his most recent former club. That halves pairing of Peachey and Maloney have the pace to run riot on Sunday. There are no good things in the NRL, but they look good to me.

Verdict – Panthers by 20

Result – Sharks 26 defeated Panthers 22

Wally Lewis - round seven selections (in bold)

Note: tips from Wally will be published on Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.

  • Bulldogs vs ROOSTERS
  • Warriors vs DRAGONS
  • Broncos vs STORM
  • RABBITOHS vs Raiders
  • TIGERS vs Knights
  • CQWBOYS vs Titans
  • Eels vs SEA EAGLES
  • SHARKS vs Panthers

Comments

The Annoying Devil's picture

Hello your broncos beat the tigers by a penalty goal in golden point

a's picture

Yes and Knights also beat Manly in golden point

The Thinker's picture

Thanks Devil and a

I assumed there was at least one.

manyana's picture

Thanks for that info Mark, I think with the proper spelling it has a do dah over the 2nd A, but I decided that a Y would suffice as it's easier to write. It's just a nickname, but I like it.
I think you're right, Qld will need all the help that they can get this year.
Cheers, manyana.

Steel Panther's picture

Hey Big Pete...if you were smiling after the Red Devils win to put them into yet another FA Cup final your smile would have disappeared after Manly's performance this afternoon. A poor effort indeed against a team yet to record a win. On the other side of the equation Baggy will be grinning from ear to ear!!!

BigPeteBx's picture

Hello Steely - u r certainly correct there mate.
Nice to see Man Utd into FA Cup Final and more enjoyable than the Manly result.
Certainly nil defence there today at ANZ by our lot. Either that or Parra was all attack. 7 tries to 2 proves that.
Baggy knows, I know how we feel in matches like that, he's a smilin as Parra have got 2 pts for their efforts. Luckily Semi wasn't playing, because he takes the half chance or used to, and turns it to gold.
Keep well mate - I'm in for a long week.
Big Pete

BigPeteBx's picture

Understand Manyana.
It'll be different Qld Teams in SoO.
NSW will also be a different unit, which makes for a better series.
I like the ground allocations this time around as it gives no State an over-advantage. Hang in there with the C/Fat mate.
I'm always putting off until tomorrow and it doesn't always pay dividends for me. Maybe I should be Yesterday.
However, I have a shrub growing on my verandah and its called Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow. Flowers beautifully in differing shades of mauve/purple/light lavendar to eventually white, when faded.
If you wish to purchase it, Google "brunsfelsia" the botanical name.
Check it out mate.
Cheers and nice having an overdue chat - Big Pete

Baggy_Gee's picture

Yeah not much to get to excited about. Manly didn't seem to come out of the sheds after the oranges, yet we leaked 2 tries. Needed to put 54 - 0 to even the balance, but very very happy to get points on the board.

The Thinker's picture

Greetings football fans

I've updated the NRL ladder and the tipping competition - Tigerholic was our top tipster with 7 from 8 (and of course it was the Tigers that cost Tigerholic a perfect round).

I've already published the page for round eight - take note that the first game of this round is the ANZAC Day game on Wednesday. Get your tips in folks.

All the best

The Thinker

mark ashford's picture

Can someone tell me how the Broncos, who look like they would struggle to win a chook raffle in the local pub so far this season, go to NZ last week and towel up the (then) unbeaten Warriors?
This week the unbeaten Dragons get the same treatment from our Kiwi friends. Is there no end to the torment this season?
Very happy to see the Cows get a win. Will do heaps for their confidence.
Have you ever seen a try like Slater's first awarded in the NRL before.
Wouldn't have changed the outcome but what were the refs thinking.
Don't forget we need to tip early next week due to the Anzac day game on Wed the 25th.
I would like to offer a huge "thank-you" to those men & women who have served our country and those who continue to do so.
Keep safe and God bless you all.

manyana's picture

Hi BigPete, I think you're right about SoO, I don't think there's an advantage for either State. I know the shrub you're talking about, it's quite lovely when it's in bloom. I don't think I need any more plants atm. We have a lot of potted plants, as I live in a retirement village, & at the back of the unit is what we call "the jungle". A very apt name for it, as it has lots of different, reasonably low maintenance, plants growing.
C/fat is good atm so went for my first walk for a month yesterday. Was pooped when I got home, but still feeling good today. BTW I'm a 72 year old woman who loves her footy.
Nice to talk to you again, Cheers, manyana.

manyana's picture

Thank you Mr. Thinker. I'll have to get my thinking cap on early this week.
Cheers, manyana.

manyana's picture

Agree with you completely, Mark. So far a very rough season for tipping.
My thanks also to the men & women who have, and are, serving our country.
Cheers, manyana.

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