Round twenty selections

North Queensland Cowboys vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Thursday night – 1300SMILES Stadium

While being a Sydney-based team is not without its challenges, it also comes with a few advantages. Take the Bulldogs for example - here we are in Round 20 and they've played just three games all season outside of Sydney. One of those games they moved by choice - taking a home game to New Zealand (and picking up a cheque for their troubles). Ten of their seventeen games this season have been at ANZ Stadium, plus another game at Belmore. They lost two of their three games away from Sydney, but they did beat the Storm in Melbourne. They'll need to find that level again to succeed on Thursday. While the Bulldogs have left Sydney just three times the Cowboys have left Townsville nine times, but it's when they play at home they shine. Eight games at home without loss, and there's been some big wins too. Their last home game was a four point win over the Sea Eagles, but that was backing up from Origin duty. They should be nice and fresh on Thursday night, and the timely return of Michael Morgan means this side can start focussing all it's energy on defending their title. That's Everest, but I'm confident they can scale Mt Bulldog on Thursday night.

Verdict – Cowboys by 8

Result - Cowboys 36 defeated Bulldogs 0

Brisbane Broncos vs Penrith Panthers – Friday night – Suncorp Stadium

Back in round three these sides squared off in Penrith, where the Broncos racked up four tries in the first half and stopped. The Panthers responded with 17 points of their own, including a field goal in the 77th minute (off the back of a Ben Hunt fumble - Déjà vu) to claim the win. It's difficult to know whether the Broncos fell asleep or the Panthers woke up - perhaps the truth lies somewhere in the middle. Last week the Eels targeted Bryce Cartwright with their big men but he eventually came out the other side. He's not a complete footballer yet, and you can see why Laurie Daley kept him out of the Blues squad for now, but he's close. He's very close. The Panthers as a team are much like Cartwright as an individual. Plenty of talent but very young. I doubt them this year but this group of players look set to create a nice little dynasty in the years ahead. Still, I'm here to talk about Friday night. The Broncos have struggled through their difficult period and while the win over the Rabbitohs wasn't perfect there was enough positives for me to believe they're heading in the right direction.

Verdict – Broncos by 4

Result - Panthers 31 defeated Broncos 12

Canberra Raiders vs New Zealand Warriors – Saturday afternoon – GIO Stadium

The Warriors travelled all the way to Perth, played in atrocious conditions, played extra time and flew all the way home. Less than a week later and they're heading back to Canberra. Through all of that, the Raiders had a bye. While the forecast looks okay for Saturday it's raining in Canberra today with more to come on Friday. Those Warriors legs will be working mighty hard to get through the going this weekend. The Raiders forward pack is under-rated by most and I'd back them to match the Warriors anyway, but given the circumstances this game has all the makings of a good old-fashioned carve-up. I'm not sure how often the Raiders look at the NRL ladder but a win on Saturday gives them a spot in the top four. Actually I'm hoping they don't realise, that's just the sort of expectation that usually brings them undone.

Verdict – Raiders by 20

Result - Raiders 26 defeated Warriors 22

Gold Coast Titans vs Parramatta Eels – Saturday night – Cbus Super Stadium

Greg Bird shored up his title as the most suspended player in NRL history with another suspension last round - he'll be back next week to face his former team-mates at the Sharks. Despite having a busier casualty ward than most clubs the Titans have managed to pull together a strong seventeen. Their dominant victory over the Dragons was an almost flawless performance - a repeat of that and they win again. Just about everyone is waiting for the Eels to drop their bundle but it hasn't happened yet. This week the government had to step in and kick the Parramatta Board to the kerb - surely that's about as low as you can go. I stand and applaud the players that are still there and the coach doing all he can to hold this team together. If they keep this up until the end of the season I will stand and applaud some more. For the sake of their fans I hope they do, but a weekend on the Gold Coast is a risky proposition.

Verdict – Titans by 8

Result - Titans 34 defeated Eels 14

Melbourne Storm vs Sydney Roosters – Saturday night – AAMI Park

I'll keep this brief - these sides played in Sydney in round 14. Tohu Harris played in the halves, and the Storm won 46-0.

Verdict – Storm by 19

Result - Storm 26 defeated Roosters 10

Cronulla Sharks vs Newcastle Knights – Sunday afternoon – Southern Cross Group Stadium

You have to feel for the Knights. Last week they faced a top two side and were gallant in defeat. This week they face the other top two side. I'm not sure how much gallantry they have left in the tank.

Verdict – Sharks by 34

Result - Sharks 36 defeated Knights 4

St George Illawarra Dragons vs Wests Tigers – Sunday afternoon – ANZ Stadium

While the late withdrawal of Benji Marshall last week probably cost me a perfect round (grrrr!) this is the perfect game for a milestone. A milestone it may be but I'm not convinced he'll get the result he would be hoping for. The Tigers are fresh from a bye and they welcome back their trio of Origin stars. On a wet track I'd give the Dragons a chance but that doesn't look likely at the minute. Dry conditions and a daytime schedule lend itself to the Tigers dynamic style. I can't see enough points in the Dragons to stay in the contest. A win for the Tigers and they're on the cusp of a finals berth. Sorry Benji.

Verdict – Tigers by 10

Result - Tigers 35 defeated Dragons 12

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Manly Sea Eagles – Monday night – Allianz Stadium

I was surprised when the Bunnies didn't challenge the Greg Inglis suspension, and then it dawned on me - perhaps they've given up. I think they need to win the last seven games of the season to get inside the top eight. That means beating the Sharks, the Bulldogs, the Warriors in Auckland and the Storm in Melbourne. Perhaps they've given up. The Sea Eagles clearly haven't. They'll take plenty of positives out of that extra time victory over the Warriors in Perth, and I expect them to carry that momentum through Monday night. Right now you can get $1.75 about Manly on Monday night. I'm tempted (gamble responsibly).

Verdict – Sea Eagles by 8

Result - Sea Eagles 20 defeated Rabbitohs 12

Wally Lewis - round twenty selections (in bold)

Note: tips from Wally will be published on Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.

  • COWBOYS vs Bulldogs
  • BRONCOS vs Panthers
  • RAIDERS vs Warriors
  • TITANS vs Eels
  • STORM vs Roosters
  • SHARKS vs Knights
  • Dragons vs TIGERS
  • Rabbitohs vs SEA EAGLES

Comments

christine's picture

Coach forget that answer I didn't realize you said winter Olympics .

Coach Potato's picture

christine.
Immunity is yours.

The next Winter Olympics will be held in Rio, Brazil.

christine's picture

Coach pyeong chang 2018

christine's picture

Coach With ms I've got a low immune system I need all the immunity I can get , ( immunity is mine )

Coach Potato's picture

Sorry christine.
You wanted to take your answer back but I had a!ready dec!after correct weight. All protests dismissed.

You are safe.
Your fingers must have thought they were a Ouija board and somehow typed the letters R...I...O for you.

Coach Potato's picture

*declared

EagleROCKS's picture

Good evening. I'm going for an upset tonight. the panthers to win in a thriller. and of corse the mighy Sea eagles to crush the rabbits on monday night.

Hi Big Pete and Fortress, how are the Legends going tonight, Hope you all have a great weekend.

EagleROCKS out!!!

tigerholic's picture

Well done Christine, who did you tip anyway for last man standing.

The Thinker's picture

Broncos into $1.25....Panthers out to $4.15

Stunned.

Coach Potato's picture

As they say about fools and money

The Thinker's picture

$4.25 now....what the heckity heck is going on?

St.George Illawarra Dragons4ever's picture

Thinker, TLH or anyone, how do I check further information on my email address.

Coach Potato's picture

Knock on for me. Sorry Broncos

Coach Potato's picture

Ben Hunt must feel hard done by last October

Coach Potato's picture

2nd a little doubt but could have been fair e tough. No obvious reach out.

christine's picture

Tigerholic tigers of course for the couch comp .

Coach Potato's picture

Got any live comment Rocky

Coach Potato's picture

Cats got your tongue ?

The Thinker's picture

St.George Illawarra Dragons4ever,

Top right of screen you should see a link called My Account. Click on that, then click the Edit button. That should take you to a page where you can see your email address.

All the best

The Thinker's picture

Coach,
I backed your mob at $4.15...nice start.

Coach Potato's picture

Where did you predict us to finish this year?

Coach Potato's picture

Talk Broncos.

The Thinker's picture

Coach,
11th....right now you're 9th, and if the Eels didn't get stripped you'd be 10th.

That said, at some point during the season I pointed out that you could get $3.50 about the Panthers making the top eight, and that I thought that was an outstanding bet.

Coach Potato's picture

Neigh say the Horsies

mark ashford's picture

Coach as I said earlier hope the game isn't spoilt by refs or bunker.
first try an obvious knock on and the second one very dubious.
Thaiday strip? I don't think so just poor ball control led to third try.
If you win tonight then you will meet us again in the finals.
Think yourself lucky tonight. The refs are on your side.

Coach Potato's picture

Blah blah blah

Coach Potato's picture

Better team losing hey Mark , O fair and balanced one?

Footy chick's picture

The Panthers are winning. Yay for me.

Baggy_Gee's picture

Ahhhh the feeling of satisfaction. They are going nicely. Where has Boyd gone, I have yet to see him.

christine's picture

I have immunity ...

Baggy_Gee's picture

He popped up scored a try, now MIA should have been tracking the ball.

Coach Potato's picture

Sweet potatoes good eatin hey Footy Chick.

Coach Potato's picture

Ahh Bragging Rights Day.

Any Broncos willing to give credit to (by far) the better team?

Baggy_Gee's picture

Wish I had had the stones to back the Panthers for the win. Good win against a lackluster team.

Coach Potato's picture

You left the ground yet Rocket?

Suck it up big boy

Baggy_Gee's picture

The boys might have a prayer up north in a few weeks. Looks god for 2 wins from 3 visits to suncorp for me.

Coach Potato's picture

Wow what a tough run we have home

Warriors
Roosters (Home)
Knights
Tigers (Home)
Gold Coast
Manly (Home)

Baggy_Gee's picture

Hardest game there has to be Manly in round 26. Be a killer game then.

Coach Potato's picture

That's it Sam, tell Locky you let Panthers do this , let Panthers do that.

Baggy_Gee's picture

He's just aiming up to take Cam Smith's job at captaining QLD.

Coach Potato's picture

... you let Kyle Felte score in the corner and let Thurston kick the winning field goal.

Never outplayed are you Broncos

tigerholic's picture

Well done Coach

Rocket must have run for the hills before full-time , funny how those Queensland teams can give it but can't f----n take it. Enjoy the win Coach, happy for you even if it cost me any chance of catching the leaders now.

Coach Potato's picture

Just as well we kept Te Maire Martin in cotton wool. He would have cut you to pieces Broncos.

The Thinker's picture

Trent Merrin just showed everyone why Phil Gould is right.

There's your NSW captain right there....and he can't even get in the team.

mark ashford's picture

Coach your panthers outplayed the Broncs tonight, helped by an incredible amount from the refs.
They must have heard $3.15 on the Panthers and got plenty on.
Panthers throwing forward passes all night. broncs throw a flat pass and it's called.
If you enjoy that win well good luck to you. you who love to talk integrity.
Very poor ref/bunker decisions.
We'll meet again Coach when it matters and with a full roster.
Meantime enjoy your bragging rights.
That's twice this season, wont happen again in the finals.

Coach is just a smartarse giving it to me and Rocket because his team stole a win.
Not a good look Coach. Winners are supposed to be humble.
You will NEVER beat the Broncs in a final!!

a's picture

Hopefully Broncos will do better next week

fortresseagle's picture

well done to the panthers very impressive indeed, and coach you do have bragging rights i must admit.

mark i thought the broncs handeling was poor,they just couldnt gain the accendency inn the middle of the park,the panthers were able to win the ruck which the broncos have always been good at.

head up mate long way to go you lose some and you win some but on this occasion we have to tip our hats to coach and his black cats,

more great games to come this weekend good luck to your teams
wishing everyone a very good evening !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

the fortress of the mighty eagles!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Baggy_Gee's picture

I agree Mark, watched plenty of forward passes get thrown by both teams. Harrigan was talking the other day how the refs are vilified in the media, the reason is just that. Only a few passes are called forward and one that was cost a try. Consistency boys.

Coach Potato's picture

Add a couple more to this current streak Panthers and you officially become a contender.

1 SHARKS 14 0
2 STORM 13 0
3 EELS 8 2
4 BULLDOGS 8 2
5 RAIDERS 8 4
6 COWBOYS 7 0
7 BRONCOS 7 5
8 DRAGONS 6 4
9 PANTHERS 6 6
10 WARRIORS 5 5
11 TITANS 5 7
12 TIGERS 4 6
13 SEA EAGLES 4 9
14 RABBITOHS 4 12
15 ROOSTERS 0 12
16 KNIGHTS 0 15

a's picture

Goddamn JT is out for 3 weeks

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