Round twenty two selections

St George Illawarra Dragons vs Brisbane Broncos – Thursday night – WIN Stadium

Two teams that, on form, appear to be in a race to the bottom. The Dragons have a head start, while the Broncos have time to turn their ship around if they can. Right now I'm not sure how seaworthy the Broncos vessell is. I'm reminded of those boats they make out of strapped together beer cans for charity events. They do get three international forwards back on Thursday night, while the Dragons lose (I think) their two best forwards in Thompson and Frizell. The Dragons had everything to play for last week, and while they tried a few more things in attack against the Bulldogs, they still only managed 10 points. Given the leakage from the Broncos in defence of late (161 points conceded in five games) the Dragons may have more luck here. Clearly I have no confidence in either side at the minute, but I'm giving the Broncos one more chance (keen observers will note I've been saying that about the Broncos for at least a month).

Verdict – Broncos by 2

Result - Broncos 12 defeated Dragons 8

Parramatta Eels vs Manly Sea Eagles – Friday night – Pirtek Stadium

I was all set to tip the Eels this week. Three important inclusions in Ma'u, Scott and Jennings, and the Eels hatred for the Sea Eagles runs deeper than most. A win here and they all but end the Sea Eagles hopes of a finals campaign. I thought all that would be enough, and it still might be. In the end, two things changed my mind:

  1. This isn't the Eels last game at Pirtek this season (and when that day arrives in round 25 the Eels will fly like Superman); and
  2. I had a look at the Eels line-up that beat the Sea Eagles in round seven (22-10). That team included Norman, Foran, Peats, Paulo and Radradra. This team on Friday night will not.

The Sea Eagles went close in round seven (they actually led until around the 70th minute). Given that their season is on the line, and their remaining games after this one look frightening, I've come full circle and I'm doing the Eagle Rock for one more round.

Verdict – Sea Eagles by 7

Result - Eels 10 defeated Sea Eagles 9

Newcastle Knights vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Saturday afternoon – Hunter Stadium

The Knights will win another game this season. Their draw isn't too bad and they still have their 'old boys' game...but they won't be winning this.

Verdict – Bulldogs by 20

Result - Bulldogs 28 defeated Knights 14

Cronulla Sharks vs Canberra Raiders – Saturday night – Southern Cross Group Stadium

A quick turnaround from an extra time draw for the Sharks and the Raiders are in a rich vein of form. There are many that think the premiership is a three-horse race, and the green machine would like nothing more than to knock off one of those three. When the Raiders are playing well they are a delight to behold, and I've loved watching their development this season. But (there's always a but), I can't tip them this weekend. They'll be packed to the rafters on Saturday night, and with the minor premiership on the line the boys in blue won't be losing their last two home games this season. Note that the Sharks did play the Raiders in Canberra earlier in the year, and it was a towel-up. This won't be a towel-up, but the Sharks can maintain their 'not losing streak' for another round.

Verdict – Sharks by 4

Result - Raiders 30 defeated Sharks 14

Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Saturday night – AAMI Park

I have an image in my head of Storm coach Craig Bellamy, dressed up as Elmer Fudd, hunting rifle in hand. "It's rabbit season". Inglis returns in the halves for the red and green but it's too late baby now it's too late...though they really did try to make it. The Storm don't need to work on their points differential, given the Sharks are on an odd number and the Storm are on an even number, but they'll be unleashing a wave of purple fury on Saturday night. A clinic.

Verdict – Storm by 40

Result - Storm 15 defeated Rabbitohs 14

Gold Coast Titans vs New Zealand Warriors – Sunday afternoon – Cbus Super Stadium

Channel Nine must be annoyed. They've given this game to Fox Sports, which was a perfectly cromulent decision until the Hayne plane landed at the Gold Coast Airport. Suddenly the delays around the re-signing of Titans fullback David Mead make more sense. If Hayne plays (and he may not) I assume Mead shifts to one wing and perhaps Macdonald to the bench given his utility value and the possibility that Hayne does a hamstring the first time he tries to stretch out. This was going to be a big game anyway, but there's a whole other dimension at play now. Both sides are playing well and both sides are backing up from golden point games. Golden point has become habit-forming for the Warriors in recent weeks and this looks like the sort of game that could go the same way. They'll just about sell the joint out on Sunday afternoon, and almost half the crowd will be ex-pat Kiwis that now call the Gold Coast home. Shaun Johnson got the Warriors home when these sides met in New Zealand in round 17, but the Titans were asking passengers on the plane if they wanted to play in the backline for that game. They cobbled a team together and almost won. I think the tables turn on Sunday.

Verdict – Titans by 4

Result - Warriors 24 defeated Titans 14

Wests Tigers vs North Queensland Cowboys – Sunday afternoon – Leichhardt Oval

Luke Brooks is out for the Tigers, but Jason Taylor can't find a place in his heart or his team for Robbie Farah. There's some speculation he may end up at the Rabbitohs next season. Like sands through the hourglass et cetera et cetera. The Cowboys have, but for one winger and one future immortal, named their strongest seventeen, and $1.45 for the Cowboys looks okay to me. Make sure you tune in if you can. If the weather is fine a footy game at Leichhardt on a Sunday afternoon is about as good as it gets.

Verdict – Cowboys by 10

Result - Tigers 26 defeated Cowboys 14

Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters – Monday night – Pepper Stadium

Rightly or wrongly, I'm trying to get a read on this game based on these sides performances over the Broncos. The Panthers beat the Broncos 31-12 in Brisbane two weeks ago and last week the Roosters beat the Broncos 32-16 in Sydney. On that alone, there's probably not much between the sides. These sides met in round seven where the Panthers prevailed 20-16. It was three tries apiece that day and it was the goal-kicking of Jamie Soward that proved the difference. That Roosters team were missing Pearce, Cordnor and Taukeiaho and it's clear the Roosters have gradually improved as the season has progressed. The round seven Panthers included a number of players that we won't see on Monday night - Soward, Te Maire, Hiku and McKendry, although they have unearthed a rich talent in Nathan Cleary since then. Perhaps goal-kicking proves the difference again - Cleary vs Taukeiaho - I can see Cleary now the rain has gone.

Verdict – Panthers by 2

Result - Panthers 38 defeated Roosters 18

Wally Lewis - round twenty-two selections (in bold)

Note: tips from Wally will be published on Wednesday night or early Thursday morning.

  • Dragons vs BRONCOS
  • Eels vs SEA EAGLES
  • Knights vs BULLDOGS
  • SHARKS vs Raiders
  • STORM vs Rabbitohs
  • TITANS vs Warriors
  • Tigers vs COWBOYS
  • PANTHERS vs Roosters

Comments

fortresseagle's picture

Hayne did this hayne did that hayne went here hayne went there . Hayne is following his dreams , aren't most footballers and us alike. The media and the pathetic refs are killing this game get rid of all of them and start again Paul Kent is a drip and the commentators are boring and out dated , please nrl jarryd hayne is not the nrl , funny that now his back tommy turbo his bro jake and James tedesco have all been swept away , I think mr hayne may find it harder too compete with those 3 players I just mentioned in my mind tommy turbo is new superstar and mr hayne may find that very hard to cope with.

Hello to big Pete yeah after that rort on satulurday night fair dinkum matt checcin is a dog act hope he is proud of himself and his rorting football team parra disgracefull.

Enjoying the Olympics the Aussies going great and rio is stunning keep well buddy let's hope we knock over the dogs were still in it just need some luck now .

Fortress eagle home of the great beaver Menzies!!!!!!!!!!!!

Baggy_Gee's picture

That's the great part about players at Manly, no one is worried about what they do now the Beaver is gone. Gone are the days of giving a damn about what a player does in his spare time or how he earns a quid. Speaking of which, anyone know where SBW is these days?

Rocket Ryan's picture

Big game for the panthers coach from my perspective i hope it ends in???????????? for the panthers.

a's picture

Hayne cleared

mark ashford's picture

Baggy as far as I know SBW is still at the All Blacks waiting for the world cup.
"a" Hayne is clear and rightly so. He was looking to his right and ref Badger backed into him. No foul no penalty.

Are you nervous Coach?

fortresseagle's picture

Baggy u must have this stange love affair with my club,gee they affect you don't they . Why don't you go visit your board soon in silver water take them the record breaking grand final when we decimated the cheating storm akka your club I'm sure you have that tape somewhere.

Hope everyone is enjoying the Olympics god the yanks day in the pool , but the Aussies more to come I hope .

Fortress eagle home of the famose mamly beach!!!!!!!!!!

a's picture

Yes touching the ref thing is ridclous

Steel Panther's picture

SBW is currently in Rio with the NZ 7s rugby team.

mark ashford's picture

Thank you Steel, wasn't quite sure.
Would have been interesting if he came up against Hayne for Fiji.
Not to happen of course.

Nerves are a terrible thing Coach..undermines confidence.

mark ashford's picture

"a" do you remember last year when Klemmer and Graham attacked the ref over a penalty decision.
Can't remember who they were playing.
That's what the rule is for. Send offs and suspension followed.
Tiny touches are a joke.

mark ashford's picture

Can't get him to bite Rocket.
Maybe he's really worried.

mark ashford's picture

Going ok Coach but plenty of help from the refs.
Are refs scared of blowing penalties in favour of away teams?

Rocket Ryan's picture

He's worried allright keeping his powder dry i might be able to flush him out????

Rocket Ryan's picture

The feather dusters have turned up and made you look good another week of hope played their grand final last week back to being very ordinary.

GaryChesterUK's picture

This Nathan Cleary looks like a player !

Coach Potato's picture

You're a good judge Gary, as opposed to the ones wearing the horses head.

mark ashford's picture

Pom thought we'd only get 2 gold Coach. Just how good a judge is he.
Roosters terrible, hope you're happy with that win.
But the Panthers had a GOOD game Coach, nevertheless.

Coach Potato's picture

Roosters 32 Broncos 16.

I'd be shuttin me mouth quick smart.
You're on a hiding to nothing and you only possess 5% the wit.
You can't win.

Coach Potato's picture

Round 26. Thursday
Broncos v Roosters.
What an 80 minute giggle fest that should be.

Getcha popcorn everybody.

a's picture

Yeah I remember Mark it caused the crowd behaviour

The Thinker's picture

Good win Coach....

You mentioned the Thursday night game in round 26 - could be handy for the Broncos actually. Three extra days to get ready for the first week of the finals. Panthers, Warriors, Tigers, raiders all play on the Sunday.

Coach Potato's picture

Yeah I know. Chances are good the Broncos will be travelling to Penrith.

Coach Potato's picture

The three days of gettin' ready is more likely about what to wear on Mad Monday.

The Thinker's picture

Greetings football fans,

I've updated the tipping comp and the NRL ladder. A tricky round where five from eight was a good effort but hats off to Tigerholic - with a stunning 7 from 8.

A bit of shuffling near the top of the leaderboard - there are at least a dozen tipsters that can still win this thing.

I'll get the page published for round 23 tomorrow night and I'll have my previews and tips done by about lunchtime on Wednesday.

All the best

Coach Potato's picture

If the comp started 3 months back when the bye rounds started, here is what the table would look like. In some ways it looks the same. Although there is one glaring difference.

1.MEL 20
2.CAN 20
3.CRO 19
4.BUL 18
5.TIG 16
6.NZ 16
7.PAN 14
8. PAR 14
9. G/C 13
10. COW 12
11.. MAN 12
12. DRA 12
13. BRO 10
14. ROO 8
15. SOU 4
16. NEW 4

Coach Potato's picture

Or maybe two glaring differences, both of the Grand Finalists of 2015.

Not looking like meeting in another Grand Final this millennium.

Graham 's picture

Excellent Round 22, Tigerholic, 7 out 8 , 2 weeks in a row, go you good thing lol :)

Coach Potato's picture

Round 24 . Friday night.
Panthers v Tigers.

Wow. I think people would have laughed 6 months ago if you'd told them this one would be a blockbuster.

Coach Potato's picture

Talking about three days rest, only three more til Broncos get the wobbles against an angry Parra.

They know that the Broncos should have faced the music regards a certain missing $300,000. They know that they didn't. Were allowed to continue on unchecked, and the next year they made the Grand Final.

Parra fans are angry. I think the players are too.
Forget about no biff. I think it's gonna be on this game.

fortresseagle's picture

congrats coach on a very good win...............the roosters were not allowed to play the better team won a believe a premership rhreat have the .
forwards and the backs to give it a shake.

come on mighty eagles thursday nite lets give it to the dogs then hope resaults go away not over to the fat lady sings!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

and go aussies i need 14 more gold a real chance!!!!!!!!!!!!

fortress eagle home of the famouse corso!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

mark ashford's picture

Coach i'm not biting on the Broncs cap thing. It's done and dusted.
Your Panthers played very well mate.
Can't believe Cleary is only 18. How good will he get.

Coach Potato's picture

Thanks Fortress. Respect for Panthers from the general footy community could always be better, but it is what it is.

Play less structured like the Panthers and I think you beat the Dogs.

Coach Potato's picture

Thanks Mark.

Who knows but mosr that started 1st grade at 18 and continued on became greats of the game.

Doggie's picture

Fortress, thurs nite. Your dreaming mate. Dogs will smash yas.

a's picture

Here is the updated ladder for the people in the non tipping competition

BigPeteBx 103

Islander 98

Dragonsfan4ever 95

That puts BigPeteBx up by 5 but still anyones game

The Thinker's picture

Looks like the Broncos are winning off the field...at least

Profit for the financial year - $3.1m

Up from $2.5m the previous financial year

Not bad, given that 16 of the 18 NRL teams run at a loss.

Coach Potato's picture

Yes but some of them on purpose. A capital loss is handy at tax time. Others show a loss because they are broke.

fortresseagle's picture

Doggie it won't be a walk in the park for your team.

If we can be even or get on top of your forwards than our backs have enough spark to cause havoc .
Jamie Lyon is back with matt parcell both these men create a lot for the backs and with tommy turbo his bro jake and chery Evans with a great kicking game we could be in fir a real contest.

The eagles will be made after the inept ref of last Saturday nite.and your time might cop the brunt of the mighty eagles fury .

Go the mighty eagles we never give up never !!!!!!!

Baggy_Gee's picture

Glad that Parra played Friday, and Manly played on Saturday.

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